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Bauwirtschaft: endlich Stabilisierung in Sicht

  • Bernd Bartholmai
  • Martin Gornig

Das Bauvolumen wird in diesem Jahr einen Wert von knapp 230 Mrd. Euro erreichen - ein Minus von annähernd 3% gegenüber 2004. Der Preisanstieg dürfte mit rund 1,5 % etwas stärker als in den Vorjahren ausfallen; das reale Bauvolumen wird somit um gut 4% schrumpfen. Während die Entwicklung in den ersten sechs Monaten dieses Jahres noch deutlich abwärts gerichtet war, ist im zweiten Halbjahr angesichts einer besseren Nachfrage mit einer Erholung zu rechnen. Nach jahrelanger Abwärtsbewegung könnte die Bauwirtschaft im kommenden Jahr die Talsohle erreichen. Auch wenn die Bauproduktion real wohl nicht wachsen wird, ist zumindest ein Ende des Schrumpfungsprozesses in Sicht. Wachstumsimpulse gehen vor allem vom Wirtschaftsbau aus.

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Article provided by DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research in its journal Wochenbericht.

Volume (Year): 72 (2005)
Issue (Month): 42 ()
Pages: 593-603

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Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:72-42-1
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