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Industrieproduktion in Deutschland: Tempoabschwächung auf hohem Niveau


  • Claudius Schmidt-Faber


Die Industrieproduktion ist in diesem Jahr der Motor der Konjunkturentwicklung in Deutschland. Die positiven Erwartungen vom Jahresanfang wurden sogar noch übertroffen. Die Industrie profitierte in hohem Ausmaß von der dynamischen Nachfrage aus dem Ausland. Die anhaltend günstige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in den wichtigsten Abnehmerländern der deutschen Industrie sowie der niedrige Eurokurs ließen die Exporte nochmals kräftig anziehen. Ob die Industrie auch im nächsten Jahr die Rolle des Konjunkturmotors in Deutschland übernehmen kann, ist allerdings fraglich: Zwar sind einerseits angesichts der kräftig zunehmenden Kapazitätsauslastung in einigen Branchen zusätzliche Impulse aus der inländischen Investitionsgüternachfrage zu erwarten, doch ist andererseits mit einer Abkühlung der weltwirtschaftlichen Dynamik zu rechnen.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudius Schmidt-Faber, 2000. "Industrieproduktion in Deutschland: Tempoabschwächung auf hohem Niveau," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 67(49), pages 833-841.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:67-490-20

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Gray, D., 1995. "Reforming the Energy Sector in Transition Economies. Selected Experience and Lessons," World Bank - Discussion Papers 296, World Bank.
    2. Philip Cagan, 1958. "The Demand for Currency Relative to Total Money Supply," NBER Chapters,in: The Demand for Currency Relative to Total Money Supply, pages 1-37 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Jeffrey Sachs & Andrew M. Warner, 1996. "Achieving Rapid Growth in the Transition Economies of Central Europe," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0073, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    4. Phillip Cagan, 1958. "The Demand for Currency Relative to the Total Money Supply," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66, pages 303-303.
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    Cited by:

    1. Joachim Gürtler, 2001. "Ostdeutsche Industrie: Produktion bleibt auf Touren, erstmals zufriedenstellende Ertragslage, Beschäftigung nimmt moderat zu," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(09), pages 33-40, October.

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