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The Song Remains the Same: International Relations After COVID-19

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  • Drezner, Daniel W.

Abstract

Since the onset of COVID-19, there has been a surfeit of commentary arguing that 2020 will have transformative effects on world politics. This paper asks whether, decades from now, the pandemic will be viewed as an inflection point. Critical junctures occur when an event triggers a discontinuous shift in key variables or forces a rapid acceleration of preexisting trends. Pandemics have undeniably had this effect in the far past. A welter of economic and medical developments, however, have strongly muted the geopolitical impact of pandemics in recent centuries. A review of how the novel coronavirus has affected the distribution of power and interest in its first six months suggests that COVID-19 will not have transformative effects on world politics. Absent a profound ex post shift in hegemonic ideas, 2020 is unlikely to be an inflection point.

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  • Drezner, Daniel W., 2020. "The Song Remains the Same: International Relations After COVID-19," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 74(S1), pages 18-35, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:74:y:2020:i:s1:p:e18-e35_2
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    Cited by:

    1. Devendra Paudel & Ram Chandra Neupane & Sailesh Sigdel & Pradip Poudel & Aditya R. Khanal, 2023. "COVID-19 Pandemic, Climate Change, and Conflicts on Agriculture: A Trio of Challenges to Global Food Security," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-22, May.
    2. Dimitris Zavras, 2022. "Studying the Experience of the Confinement Measures Implemented during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Greece," World, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Erica Resende & Sybille Reinke de Buitrago, 2022. "Populism in Times of Spectacularization of the Pandemic: How Populists in Germany and Brazil Tried to ‘Own the Virus’ but Failed," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.

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