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Noncausality in Continuous Time Models

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  • Comte, F.
  • Renault, E.

Abstract

In this paper, we study new definitions of noncausality, set in a continuous time framework, illustrated by the intuitive example of stochastic volatility models. Then, we define CIMA processes (i.e., processes admitting a continuous time invertible moving average representation), for which canonical representations and sufficient conditions of invertibility are given. We can provide for those CIMA processes parametric characterizations of noncausality relations as well as properties of interest for structural interpretations. In particular, we examine the example of processes solutions of stochastic differential equations, for which we study the links between continuous and discrete time definitions, find conditions to solve the possible problem of aliasing, and set the question of testing continuous time noncausality on a discrete sample of observations. Finally, we illustrate a possible generalization of definitions and characterizations that can be applied to continuous time fractional ARMA processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Comte, F. & Renault, E., 1996. "Noncausality in Continuous Time Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(02), pages 215-256, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:12:y:1996:i:02:p:215-256_00
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hardle, Wolfgang & Linton, Oliver, 1986. "Applied nonparametric methods," Handbook of Econometrics,in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 38, pages 2295-2339 Elsevier.
    2. Mikosch, T., 1991. "Functional limit theorems for random quadratic forms," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 81-98, February.
    3. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Asymptotic Normality of Series Estimators for Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regression Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 307-345, March.
    4. Phillips, Peter C. B., 1977. "An approximation to the finite sample distribution of Zellner's seemingly unrelated regression estimator," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 147-164, September.
    5. Linton, Oliver, 1993. "Adaptive Estimation in ARCH Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(04), pages 539-569, August.
    6. Newey, Whitney K, 1990. "Semiparametric Efficiency Bounds," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(2), pages 99-135, April-Jun.
    7. Phillips, Peter C B, 1977. "A General Theorem in the Theory of Asymptotic Expansions as Approximations to the Finite Sample Distributions of Econometric Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(6), pages 1517-1534, September.
    8. repec:cup:etheor:v:9:y:1993:i:4:p:539-69 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Newey, Whitney K., 1988. "Adaptive estimation of regression models via moment restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 301-339, July.
    10. Chesher, Andrew & Spady, Richard, 1991. "Asymptotic Expansions of the Information Matrix Test Statistic," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 787-815, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chambers, MJ & McCrorie, JR & Thornton, MA, 2017. "Continuous Time Modelling Based on an Exact Discrete Time Representation," Economics Discussion Papers 20497, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    2. Ghysels, Eric & Santa-Clara, Pedro & Valkanov, Rossen, 2004. "The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regression Models," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt9mf223rs, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    3. repec:bla:jtsera:v:38:y:2017:i:2:p:225-242 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Sauri, Orimar & Veraart, Almut E.D., 2017. "On the class of distributions of subordinated Lévy processes and bases," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 475-496.
    5. Nour Meddahi, 2002. "ARMA Representation of Two-Factor Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-92, CIRANO.
    6. Petrović, Ljiljana & Dimitrijević, Sladjana, 2012. "Causality with finite horizon of the past in continuous time," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(7), pages 1219-1223.
    7. repec:eee:finsta:v:33:y:2017:i:c:p:150-162 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. McCrorie, J. Roderick & Chambers, Marcus J., 2006. "Granger causality and the sampling of economic processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 311-336, June.
    9. Comte, F., 1998. "Discrete and continuous time cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 207-226, November.
    10. René Garcia & Eric Ghysels & Éric Renault, 2004. "The Econometrics of Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-04, CIRANO.

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