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Repression Hurts: Coercive Government Responses and the Demise of Terrorist Campaigns

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  • Daxecker, Ursula E.
  • Hess, Michael L.

Abstract

The question of how coercive government policies affect the duration and outcome of terrorist campaigns has only recently started to attract scholarly interest. This article argues that the effect of repression on terrorist group dynamics is conditional on the country's regime type. Repression is expected to produce a backlash effect in democracies, subsequently lengthening the duration of terrorist organizations and lowering the probability of outcomes favourable to the government. In authoritarian regimes, however, coercive strategies are expected to deter groups’ engagement in terrorism, thus reducing the lifespan of terrorist groups and increasing the likelihood of government success. These hypotheses are examined using data on terrorist groups for the 1976–2006 period; support is found for these conjectures on terrorist group duration and outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Daxecker, Ursula E. & Hess, Michael L., 2013. "Repression Hurts: Coercive Government Responses and the Demise of Terrorist Campaigns," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(3), pages 559-577, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:43:y:2013:i:03:p:559-577_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Tiberiu Dragu, 2017. "On repression and its effectiveness," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 29(4), pages 599-622, October.
    2. Casey Crisman-Cox, 2018. "Enemies within," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(8), pages 1661-1685, September.
    3. Nabil “Bill” Julkif, 2022. "Self and political efficacy and the justifiability of political violence and the role of state terror: A cross‐national analysis," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 103(1), pages 108-119, January.
    4. Seden Akcinaroglu & Efe Tokdemir, 2018. "To instill fear or love: Terrorist groups and the strategy of building reputation," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(4), pages 355-377, July.
    5. Ashlyn W. Hand & Nilay Saiya, 2023. "Democracy’s Ambivalent Effect on Terrorism," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 67(7-8), pages 1618-1643, August.
    6. Christian Gläßel & Katrin Paula, 2020. "Sometimes Less Is More: Censorship, News Falsification, and Disapproval in 1989 East Germany," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(3), pages 682-698, July.
    7. Ursula Daxecker, 2017. "Dirty Hands," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(6), pages 1261-1289, July.
    8. Khusrav Gaibulloev & Todd Sandler, 2014. "An empirical analysis of alternative ways that terrorist groups end," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 160(1), pages 25-44, July.
    9. Brian Blankenship, 2018. "When Do States Take the Bait? State Capacity and the Provocation Logic of Terrorism," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(2), pages 381-409, February.
    10. William Spaniel, 2019. "Rational Overreaction to Terrorism," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(3), pages 786-810, March.
    11. Auer, Daniel & Meierrieks, Daniel, 2021. "Merchants of death: Arms imports and terrorism," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

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