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Why Is Support for Extreme Parties Underestimated by Surveys? A Latent Class Analysis

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  • BREEN, RICHARD

Abstract

It is widely accepted that survey data tend to underestimate the levels of support for political parties or other groups that are perceived to advocate ‘extreme’ views. In this Note I propose the use of latent class analysis as a means by which this difficulty might be overcome and I illustrate it by an application to the case of support within Northern Ireland for Sinn Féin from survey data and apply latent class analysis to a recent dataset from Northern Ireland. The note concludes with some general remarks on the question of why surveys and elections disagree and the role of latent class analysis in explaining this phenomenon.

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  • Breen, Richard, 2000. "Why Is Support for Extreme Parties Underestimated by Surveys? A Latent Class Analysis," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(2), pages 375-382, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:30:y:2000:i:02:p:375-382_23
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    Cited by:

    1. Collart, Alba J. & Palma, Marco A., 2014. "What Motivates Individuals to Participate in Economic Experiments? A Latent Class Analysis with Unobserved Heterogeneity," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170401, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Quentin David & Jean‐Benoit Pilet & Gilles Van Hamme, 2018. "Scale Matters in Contextual Analysis of Extreme Right Voting and Political Attitudes," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 509-536, November.
    3. Thilo N. H. Albers & Felix Kersting & Fabian Kosse, 2022. "Income Misperception and Populism," CESifo Working Paper Series 10059, CESifo.
    4. repec:jss:jstsof:42:i10 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Jennifer Oser, 2017. "Assessing How Participators Combine Acts in Their “Political Tool Kits”: A Person-Centered Measurement Approach for Analyzing Citizen Participation," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 235-258, August.
    6. Thilo N. H. Albers & Felix Kersting & Fabian Kosse, 2022. "Income Misperception and Populism," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 1177, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    7. Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Grün, Bettina & Hofmarcher, Paul & Humer, Stefan & Moser, Mathias, 2016. "Unveiling covariate inclusion structures in economic growth regressions using latent class analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 189-202.
    8. Albers, Thilo Nils Hendrik & Kersting, Felix & Kosse, Fabian, 2022. "Income Misperception and Populism," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 344, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    9. Albers, Thilo N. H. & Kersting, Felix & Kosse, Fabian, 2022. "Income Misperception and Populism," IZA Discussion Papers 15673, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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