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Survival Probabilities Based on Pareto Claim Distributions

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  • Seal, Hilary L.

Abstract

It is commonly thought that the characteristic function (Fourier transform) of the Pareto distribution has no known functional form (e.g. Seal, 1978, pp. 14, 40, 57). This is quite untrue. Nevertheless the characteristic function of the Pareto density is conspicuously absent from standard reference works even when the Pareto distribution itself receives substantial comment (e.g. Haight, 1961; Johnson and Kotz, 1970, Ch. 19; Patel, Kapadia and Owen, 1976, § 1. 5).The Pareto density may be writtenwith distribution functionmean = p/(v − 1) and variance = b2v(v − 1)2(v−2). These are infinite when v≤1 and v≤2, respectively. Its Laplace transform (s= c + iu)where E is the generalized exponential integral (Pagurova, 1961) and can be written in terms of incomplete gamma or confluent hypergeometric functions (Slater, 1960, Sec. 5.6). When s = − it β(s) becomes the characteristic function (see Appendix I).As Benktander (1970) tells us, the Pareto distribution has been particularly successful at representing the distribution of the larger claim amounts. In earlier years it was employed to represent the distribution of life insurance sums assured but more recently it has been used for the claim distributions of fire and automobile insurance. Table 1 provides the v-values we have been able to locate. Note that the variance of the distribution is infinite when v≤2 and if it were not for the anomalous v-values of Andersson (1971) we would have ventured the opinion that modern claim data encourage the assumption that v>2. In our numerical work we have used v = 2.7 and smaller values might change some of the computer rules we have proposed in Appendix II.

Suggested Citation

  • Seal, Hilary L., 1980. "Survival Probabilities Based on Pareto Claim Distributions," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 61-71, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:11:y:1980:i:01:p:61-71_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Furman, Edward & Wang, Ruodu & Zitikis, Ričardas, 2017. "Gini-type measures of risk and variability: Gini shortfall, capital allocations, and heavy-tailed risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 70-84.
    2. Emilio Gómez-Déniz & José María Sarabia & Enrique Calderín-Ojeda, 2019. "Ruin Probability Functions and Severity of Ruin as a Statistical Decision Problem," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-16, June.
    3. Fen Jiang & Junmei Zhou & Jin Zhang, 2020. "Restricted minimum volume confidence region for Pareto distribution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2015-2029, October.
    4. Eric Bax, 2020. "Heavy Tails Make Happy Buyers," Papers 2002.09014, arXiv.org.
    5. Furman, Edward & Kuznetsov, Alexey & Zitikis, Ričardas, 2018. "Weighted risk capital allocations in the presence of systematic risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 75-81.

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