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The Rise and Fall of Social Democracy, 1918–2017

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  • BENEDETTO, GIACOMO
  • HIX, SIMON
  • MASTROROCCO, NICOLA

Abstract

We describe the electoral history of one of Europe’s most successful party families over the past 100 years in 31 countries. With a unique and newly collected dataset of national election results and a large number of economic and social variables measured for each country-election observation, we find that two main factors drive the electoral performance of social democratic parties: public-sector spending and the size of the manufacturing sector. Our findings suggest that most of the fall in support for social democratic parties in recent years is correlated with a decline in the number of industrial workers as well as a reduction in the propensity of social democratic parties’ core supporters (industrial workers and public-sector employees) to vote for them.

Suggested Citation

  • Benedetto, Giacomo & Hix, Simon & Mastrorocco, Nicola, 2020. "The Rise and Fall of Social Democracy, 1918–2017," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 114(3), pages 928-939, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:114:y:2020:i:3:p:928-939_21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:ces:ifodic:v:15:y:2017:i:1:p:19307504 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Katrin Oesingmann, 2017. "Youth Unemployment in Europe," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(01), pages 52-55, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Chinchih & Frey, Carl Benedikt & Presidente, Giorgio, 2023. "Disease and democracy: Political regimes and countries responsiveness to COVID-19," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 290-299.
    2. Sarah Hakeem & Saghir Pervaiz Ghauri & Rizwan Raheem Ahmed & Dalia Streimikiene & Justas Streimikis, 2023. "Development of Social Welfare Policies in the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) Countries: Globalization and Democracy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 91-134, June.
    3. Joël Hellier, 2021. "Globalization, Income Tax and the Redistribution–Progressivity Tradeoff," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(3), pages 384-410, September.
    4. Gabriele Gratton & Barton E. Lee, 2020. "Liberty, Security, and Accountability: The Rise and Fall of Illiberal Democracies," Discussion Papers 2020-13a, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    5. Baptiste Antoniazza & André Mach & Michael Andrea Strebel, 2023. "THE URBAN LEFT IN POWER: Comparing the Profiles of ‘Municipal Socialists’ and the ‘New Urban Left’ in Swiss Cities," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(5), pages 745-772, September.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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