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Urban Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment of Support Climate-Resilient City Development

Author

Listed:
  • Zipan Cai

    (Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden)

  • Jessica Page

    (Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Sweden)

  • Vladimir Cvetkovic

    (Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden)

Abstract

Climate change poses a threat to cities. Geospatial information and communication technology (Geo-ICT) assisted planning is increasingly being utilised to foster urban sustainability and adaptability to climate change. To fill the theoretical and practical gaps of urban adaptive planning and Geo-ICT implementation, this article presents an urban ecosystem vulnerability assessment approach using integrated socio-ecological modelling. The application of the Geo-ICT method is demonstrated in a specific case study of climate-resilient city development in Nanjing (China), aiming at helping city decision-makers understand the general geographic data processing and policy revision processes in response to hypothetical future disruptions and pressures on urban social, economic, and environmental systems. Ideally, the conceptual framework of the climate-resilient city transition proposed in this study effectively integrates the geographic data analysis, policy modification, and participatory planning. In the process of model building, we put forward the index system of urban ecosystem vulnerability assessment and use the assessment result as input data for the socio-ecological model. As a result, the model reveals the interaction processes of local land use, economy, and environment, further generating an evolving state of future land use in the studied city. The findings of this study demonstrate that socio-ecological modelling can provide guidance in adjusting the human-land interaction and climate-resilient city development from the perspective of macro policy. The decision support using urban ecosystem vulnerability assessment and quantitative system modelling can be useful for urban development under a variety of environmental change scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Zipan Cai & Jessica Page & Vladimir Cvetkovic, 2021. "Urban Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment of Support Climate-Resilient City Development," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 6(3), pages 227-239.
    • Handle: RePEc:cog:urbpla:v:6:y:2021:i:3:p:227-239
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Babatunde J. Abiodun & Jimmy Adegoke & Abayomi A. Abatan & Chidi A. Ibe & Temitope S. Egbebiyi & Francois Engelbrecht & Izidine Pinto, 2017. "Potential impacts of climate change on extreme precipitation over four African coastal cities," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(3), pages 399-413, August.
    2. Xinyu Fu & Mohammed Gomaa & Yujun Deng & Zhong-Ren Peng, 2017. "Adaptation planning for sea level rise: a study of US coastal cities," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(2), pages 249-265, February.
    3. Cinta Lomba-Fernández & Josune Hernantes & Leire Labaka, 2019. "Guide for Climate-Resilient Cities: An Urban Critical Infrastructures Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-19, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Felipe Teixeira Dias & Gisele Mazon & Priscila Cembranel & Robert Birch & José Baltazar Salgueirinho Osório de Andrade Guerra, 2022. "Land Use and Global Environmental Change: An Analytical Proposal Based on A Systematic Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Thomas Thaler & Patrick A. Witte & Thomas Hartmann & Stan C. M. Geertman, 2021. "Smart Urban Governance for Climate Change Adaptation," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 6(3), pages 223-226.

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