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Le ralentissement du commerce mondial annonce un changement de tendance

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  • Sébastien Jean

Abstract

Le ralentissement du commerce mondial ne s’explique pas seulement par l’atonie relative de la croissance mondiale et de l’investissement. Il marque aussi la fin d'une phase de développement extraordinairement rapide de l'éclatement des processus de production entre différents pays, voire différents continents. Ces dernières années, le fractionnement mondial des chaînes de valeur n'a plus été l'accélérateur d'échanges qu’il a été avant la crise. Après tout, ce processus ne peut, par nature, constituer qu’une phase transitoire appelée à se tempérer tôt ou tard. Le ralentissement des échanges mondiaux reflèterait alors l'entrée dans une nouvelle ère de la mondialisation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sébastien Jean, 2015. "Le ralentissement du commerce mondial annonce un changement de tendance," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 356.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepill:2015-356
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    Cited by:

    1. Vincent Chatellier & Thierry Pouch, 2021. "Agri-food trade in the EU and France between 2000 and 2020 [Le commerce agroalimentaire de l'UE-27 et de la France entre 2000 et 2020]," Post-Print hal-03514990, HAL.
    2. Vincent Chatellier, 2019. "L’internationalisation des marchés en productions animales," Working Papers SMART 19-08, INRAE UMR SMART.
    3. Christian Corniaux & Guillaume Duteurtre & Djiby Dia & Vincent Chatellier, 2021. "Low-cost products in the internationalization of agri-food markets: The case of European exports of milk powders to West Africa [Les produits low-cost dans l'internationalisation des marchés agro-a," Post-Print hal-03515085, HAL.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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