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This time is different: Fiscal response to the COVID-19 pandemic among EU countries

Author

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  • Bettina Bökemeier
  • Marcin Wolski

Abstract

This paper empirically analyzes fiscal policy behavior in the European Union (EU) Member States and assesses how it has changed during the recent pandemic crisis compared to previous crisis periods. Based on panel estimations, we find that the fiscal reaction has been different this time, both concerning the policy direction as well as its magnitude. We argue that fiscal policy has turned from formally pro-cyclical design prior to COVID-19 period to counter-cyclical in the pandemic years, on average. While this is naturally driven by the wide roll-out of fiscal support measures during the pandemic, including health care expenditures and spending on job security, the change in the fiscal reaction function is still visible if these effects are taken away from the budget, even though the move is less pronounced and signifies a change from a pro-cyclical to an a-cyclical fiscal regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Bettina Bökemeier & Marcin Wolski, 2022. "This time is different: Fiscal response to the COVID-19 pandemic among EU countries," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 172, pages 217-226.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2022-q3-172-14
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    Cited by:

    1. Konstantin Kolev & Maya Tsoklinova, 2023. "Economic Interventionism Under Pandemic Conditions: Similarities And Differences On EU Level," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 1 Year 20, pages 55-74.
    2. Heimberger, Philipp, 2023. "This time truly is different: The cyclical behaviour of fiscal policy during the Covid-19 crisis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19 pandemic; Discretionary fiscal policy; New Member States; Counter-cyclical policies; Fiscal rules;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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