IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v59y2006i22p03-18.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Enlargement of the Eurozone and its effect on the European economy?

Author

Listed:
  • Christa Randzio-Plath
  • Carsten Hefeker
  • Jarko Fidrmuc
  • Gunther Schnabl
  • Hermann Remsperger

Abstract

On 1 January Slovenia will join the European Monetary Union as its thirteenth member. Bulgaria and Romania will become new members of the EU on the same date so that the potential number of Eurozone candidates will increase to 14. What effects can be expected from the enlargement of the Eurozone on the European economy? In the opinion of Christa Randzio-Plath, former chairperson of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament, it is expected of the monetary union in general that it will contribute to a deepened integration. Thus the enlargement of the Eurozone can influence positively the cohesion and the co-operation of the old and new member states. For Carsten Hefeker, University of Siegen, possible effects of the enlargement of the monetary union on the present members and the new member states will particularly depend on the policies of the European Central Bank and the reaction of private investors. Jarko Fidrmuc, University of Munich and Comenius University Bratislava, addresses the question of how the traditional theory of the optimal currency helps us assess the eastern enlargement of the Eurozone. In the opinion of Gunther Schnabl, Leipzig University, joining the Eurozone offers "a unique opportunity for emerging markets. The monetary reputation and the stable low interest-rate level of the European Central Bank can be safeguarded in the long run." Hermann Remsperger, German Bundesbank, observes that from the viewpoint of the current EMU countries, an EMU enlargement should increase competition and reform pressure. In principle, the euro system is equipped for enlargement, however.

Suggested Citation

  • Christa Randzio-Plath & Carsten Hefeker & Jarko Fidrmuc & Gunther Schnabl & Hermann Remsperger, 2006. "Enlargement of the Eurozone and its effect on the European economy?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(22), pages 03-18, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:59:y:2006:i:22:p:03-18
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2006_22_1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jörg, 2005. "How synchronized are central and east European economies with the euro area? Evidence from a structural factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,20, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. António M Lopes & J A Tenreiro Machado & John S Huffstot & Maria Eugénia Mata, 2018. "Dynamical analysis of the global business-cycle synchronization," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(2), pages 1-25, February.
    2. Christos S. Savva & Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Denise R. Osborn, 2010. "Business cycle synchronization of the euro area with the new and negotiating member countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 288-306.
    3. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2011. "More than just one labor market cycle in Germany? : an analysis of regional unemployment data," Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 44(3), pages 279-292.
    4. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Korhonen, Iikka, 2006. "Meta-analysis of the business cycle correlation between the euro area and the CEECs," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 518-537, September.
    5. Jörg Breitung & Sandra Eickmeier, 2006. "Dynamic Factor Models," Springer Books, in: Olaf Hübler & Jachim Frohn (ed.), Modern Econometric Analysis, chapter 3, pages 25-40, Springer.
    6. Pasquale Foresti & Ugo Marani & Giuseppe Piroli, 2015. "Macroeconomic dynamics in four selected new member states of the EU," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(1), pages 40-51.
    7. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Euro Area Policies: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/259, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2011. "More than just one labor market cycle in Germany? : an analysis of regional unemployment data," Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 44(3), pages 279-292.
    9. Zuzana Brixiova & Margaret H. Morgan & Andreas Wörgötter, 2010. "On The Road to Euro: How Synchronized Is Estonia with the Euro zone?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 7(1), pages 203-227, June.
    10. Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2006. "How Much of the Macroeconomic Variation in Eastern Europe is Attributable to External Shocks?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 48(3), pages 523-544, September.
    11. Kalina Durova, 2019. "Are the New Member States Ready to Join the Euro Area? A Business Cycle Perspective," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 72-95.
    12. Christian Schulz, 2007. "Forecasting economic growth for Estonia : application of common factor methodologies," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2007-09, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Sep 2007.
    13. Christian Schulz, 2008. "Forecasting economic activity for Estonia : The application of dynamic principal component analyses," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2008-02, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Oct 2008.
    14. Nenad Stanisic, 2013. "Convergence between the business cycles of Central and Eastern European countries and the Euro area," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 63-74, July.
    15. Ivan Todorov, 2012. "European Economic Integration Theories and Criteria," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 131-152.
    16. David Matesanz Gomez & Guillermo J. Ortega & Benno Torgler, 2012. "Synchronization and Diversity in Business Cycles: A Network Approach Applied to the European Union," CREMA Working Paper Series 2012-01, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
    17. David Matesanz Gomez & Guillermo J. Ortega & Benno Torgler, 2012. "Synchronization and Diversity in Business Cycles: A Network Approach Applied to the European Union," CREMA Working Paper Series 2012-01, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:59:y:2006:i:22:p:03-18. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.