IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifodre/v08y2001i04p8-32.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wirtschaftsperspektiven 2001/2002 und Entwicklung in Ostdeutschland

Author

Listed:
  • Willi Leibfritz
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus
  • Wolfgang Meister

Abstract

Die deutsche Konjunktur hat sich deutlich abgekuehlt. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt duerfte im ersten Halbjahr 2001 nur noch um 1,3% ueber dem Vorjahr gelegen haben. Ursaechlich dafuer war zum einen die Verlangsamung der Weltkonjunktur und zum anderen der Kaufkraftentzug bei den privaten Haushalten aufgrund der hoeheren Preise fuer Energie und Nahrungsmittel. Unsere wahrscheinlichste Prognose ist, dass sich die Konjunktur wieder stabilisiert. Dafuer ist aber notwendig,dass sich die Weltkonjunktur wieder faengt und die privaten Haushalte angesichts sinkender Preissteigerungsraten ihre Kaeufe ausweiten. Aber selbst wenn sich die Konjunktur wieder bessert, wird die Arbeitslosigkeit im Durchschnitt des naechsten Jahres aehnlich hoch sein wie in diesem Jahr.

Suggested Citation

  • Willi Leibfritz & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Wolfgang Meister, 2001. "Wirtschaftsperspektiven 2001/2002 und Entwicklung in Ostdeutschland," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 8(04), pages 8-32, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:08:y:2001:i:04:p:8-32
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifodb_2001_4_2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Business forecasts and forecasting risks," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(16), pages 17-21, October.
    2. Martin Hüfner & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Will the euro conversion affect price stability?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(18), pages 03-10, October.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:08:y:2001:i:04:p:8-32. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.