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Sekt oder Selters? – Ökonomische Folgen der Reformzurückhaltung bei der Beendigung des Solidaritätszuschlags

Author

Listed:
  • Strohner Ludwig

    (Forschungsbereich Öffentliche Finanzen, EcoAustria – Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Am Heumarkt 10, 1030 Wien, Austria)

  • Berger Johannes

    (Forschungsbereich Arbeitsmarkt und Soziale Sicherung, EcoAustria – Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Am Heumarkt 10, 1030 Wien, Austria)

  • Thomas Tobias

    (EcoAustria – Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Am Heumarkt 10, 1030 Wien, Austria)

Abstract

While the German Council of Economic Experts recommends the complete abolition of the solidarity surcharge after the expiry of Solidarity Pact II, the current plan of the German government merely provides for a partial exemption from the income tax. Simulations of the two reform scenarios with the general dynamic equilibrium model PuMA show that reform reluctance would result in significant prosperity losses. In comparison, already in the short-term 0.2 percent less GDP would be realized (0.3 percent in the long-term). This is associated with 35,000 persons (long-term 40,000) lower employment. In addition, net household income would be lower. The degree of self-financing of the reforms would amount to more than 40 percent in the short-term (50 percent in the long-term) in both scenarios. This and the current surpluses show that a complete abolition of the solidarity surcharge would be possible without jeopardizing the sustainability of public finances.

Suggested Citation

  • Strohner Ludwig & Berger Johannes & Thomas Tobias, 2018. "Sekt oder Selters? – Ökonomische Folgen der Reformzurückhaltung bei der Beendigung des Solidaritätszuschlags," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 19(4), pages 313-330, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:pewipo:v:19:y:2018:i:4:p:313-330:n:2
    DOI: 10.1515/pwp-2018-0016
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    Cited by:

    1. Coppik, Jürgen, 2024. "Economic fundamentals of IP interconnection and data traffic between over-the-top-providers and traditional telecommunications network operators," DICE Ordnungspolitische Perspektiven 117, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).

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    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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