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Investment Crowding-Out and Labor Market Effects of Financialization in the US

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  • Ignacio González
  • Hector Sala

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="sjpe12059-abs-0001"> This paper studies the impact of financialization on unemployment in the United States. We estimate a dynamic multi-equation macro labor model including labor demand, labor suppy, wage-setting, and capital accumulation equations. Financialization appears as a key determinant of capital accumulation which, in turn, is the transmission channel toward its unemployment effects. We conduct a series of counterfactual simulations where we quantify the macroeconomic consequences of the recent swings experienced by the financialization process. We find that it has had relevant unemployment effects in all periods considered, even in those where financial payments were not the main driver of capital accumulation. We also identify a structural change in the financialization process in the early 1980s, and find that it has caused USA unemployment to systematically fluctuate around 2 percentage points above what it would otherwise have done. We call for a reappraisal of the way financial markets work, and stress the vital need of preventing financial devices that result in productive investment crowding-out.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio González & Hector Sala, 2014. "Investment Crowding-Out and Labor Market Effects of Financialization in the US," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 61(5), pages 589-613, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:61:y:2014:i:5:p:589-613
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/sjpe.2014.61.issue-5
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    1. Dean Baker & Andrew Glyn & David Howell & John Schmitt, 2002. "Labor Market Institutions and Unemployment: A Critical Assessment of the Cross-Country Evidence," SCEPA working paper series. 2002-17, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ren, Xiaoyi & Shao, Huan, 2022. "Non-state shareholder governance and shadow banking business: Evidence from Chinese state-owned manufacturing enterprises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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