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Detente, Market-Oriented Reform and German Unification: Potential Consequences for the World Trade System

Author

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  • van Bergeijk, Peter A G
  • Oldersma, Harry

Abstract

Based on a gravity model for forty-nine countries in the year 1985, this article reports simulation results concerning the potential consequences for the world trade system of East-West trade normalization. It appears that Eastern Europe stands to gain relatively the most. In the OECD-area, Western Europe will be able to improve on its comparative trading position, especially the member-countries of the EFTA. The developments in Europe appear to influence the trade flows of the other continents only marginally. Copyright 1990 by WWZ and Helbing & Lichtenhahn Verlag AG

Suggested Citation

  • van Bergeijk, Peter A G & Oldersma, Harry, 1990. "Detente, Market-Oriented Reform and German Unification: Potential Consequences for the World Trade System," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(4), pages 599-609.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:43:y:1990:i:4:p:599-609
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Misala, Józef, 1992. "Division of labour between Poland and member countries of the European Communities: Past experiences and prospects," Kiel Working Papers 536, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    2. Robert Holzmann & Christian Thimann & Angela Petz, 1994. "Pressure to Adjust: Consequences for the OECD Countries from Reforms in Eastern Europe," International Trade 9403001, EconWPA.
    3. Peter A. G. van Bergeijk, 2015. "Visible and invisible walls: World trade patterns and the end of the Cold War," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 65(2), pages 231-247, June.
    4. Kangas, Kari & Niskanen, Anssi, 2003. "Trade in forest products between European Union and the Central and Eastern European access candidates," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 297-304, September.
    5. Misala, Józef, 1992. "Importance and patterns of Poland's trade with Germany," Kiel Working Papers 537, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    6. Gert-Jan M. Linders & Henri L.F. de Groot, 2006. "Estimation of the Gravity Equation in the Presence of Zero Flows," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-072/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    7. Estrella Gómez-Herrera, 2013. "Comparing alternative methods to estimate gravity models of bilateral trade," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1087-1111, June.
    8. Jaleel Ahmad & Jing Yang, 1998. "Trade Liberalization in Eastern European Countries and the Prospects of their Integration into the World Trading System," CESifo Working Paper Series 164, CESifo Group Munich.
    9. repec:shr:wpaper:13-04 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Martino Pelli & Jeanne Tschopp, 2014. "Hurricanes Revisited : Comparative Advantage as a Source of Heterogeneity," Cahiers de recherche 14-09, Departement d'Economique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    11. Gert-Jan M. Linders & Henri L.F. de Groot & Raymond J.G.M. Florax & Peter Nijkamp, 2011. "Persistent Distance Decay Effects in International Trade," Chapters,in: International Handbook on the Economics of Integration, Volume II, chapter 14 Edward Elgar Publishing.

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