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A new mixture model for capture heterogeneity

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  • B. J. T. Morgan
  • M. S. Ridout

Abstract

Summary. We propose a mixture of binomial and beta–binomial distributions for estimating the size of closed populations. The new mixture model is applied to several real capture–recapture data sets and is shown to provide a convenient, objective framework for model selection. The new model is compared with three alternative models in a simulation study, and the results shed light on the general performance of models in this area. The new model provides a robust flexible analysis, which automatically deals with small capture probabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • B. J. T. Morgan & M. S. Ridout, 2008. "A new mixture model for capture heterogeneity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 57(4), pages 433-446, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssc:v:57:y:2008:i:4:p:433-446
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2008.00620.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shirley Pledger & Carl Schwarz, 2002. "Modelling heterogeneity of survival in band-recovery data using mixtures," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1-4), pages 315-327.
    2. Robert M. Dorazio & J. Andrew Royle, 2003. "Mixture Models for Estimating the Size of a Closed Population When Capture Rates Vary among Individuals," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 351-364, June.
    3. J. Andrew Royle, 2006. "Site Occupancy Models with Heterogeneous Detection Probabilities," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 62(1), pages 97-102, March.
    4. Robert M. Dorazio & J. Andrew Royle, 2005. "Rejoinder to "The Performance of Mixture Models in Heterogeneous Closed Population Capture-Recapture"," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 61(3), pages 874-876, September.
    5. William A. Link, 2003. "Nonidentifiability of Population Size from Capture-Recapture Data with Heterogeneous Detection Probabilities," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(4), pages 1123-1130, December.
    6. Shirley Pledger, 2000. "Unified Maximum Likelihood Estimates for Closed Capture–Recapture Models Using Mixtures," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 56(2), pages 434-442, June.
    7. Hajo Holzmann & Axel Munk & Walter Zucchini, 2006. "On Identifiability in Capture–Recapture Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 62(3), pages 934-936, September.
    8. Brent A. Coull & Alan Agresti, 1999. "The Use of Mixed Logit Models to Reflect Heterogeneity in Capture-Recapture Studies," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 294-301, March.
    9. Shirley Pledger, 2005. "The Performance of Mixture Models in Heterogeneous Closed Population Capture–Recapture," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 61(3), pages 868-873, September.
    10. Wen-Han Hwang & Richard Huggins, 2005. "An examination of the effect of heterogeneity on the estimation of population size using capture-recapture data," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 92(1), pages 229-233, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Anita Jeyam & Rachel S. McCrea & Thomas Bregnballe & Morten Frederiksen & Roger Pradel, 2018. "A Test of Positive Association for Detecting Heterogeneity in Capture for Capture–Recapture Data," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-19, March.
    2. Orasa Anan & Dankmar Böhning & Antonello Maruotti, 2017. "Population size estimation and heterogeneity in capture–recapture data: a linear regression estimator based on the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 26(1), pages 49-79, March.
    3. Hannah Worthington & Rachel S. McCrea & Ruth King & Richard A. Griffiths, 2019. "Estimation of Population Size When Capture Probability Depends on Individual States," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(1), pages 154-172, March.

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