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Contrarian Profits and the Overreaction Hypothesis: the Case of the Athens Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Antonios Antoniou
  • Emilios C. Galariotis
  • Spyros I. Spyrou

Abstract

"This paper investigates the existence of contrarian profits and their sources for the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). The empirical analysis decomposes contrarian profits to sources due to common factor reactions, overreaction to firm-specific information, and profits not related to the previous two terms, as suggested by Jegadeesh and Titman (1995). Furthermore, in view of recent evidence that common stock returns are related to firm characteristics such as size and book-to-market equity, the paper decomposes contrarian profits to sources due to factors derived from the Fama and French (1993, 1996) three-factor model. For the empirical testing, size-sorted sub-samples that are rebalanced annually are employed, and in addition, adjustments for thin and infrequent trading are made to the data. The results indicate that serial correlation is present in equity returns and that it leads to significant short-run contrarian profits that persist even after we adjust for market frictions. Consistent with findings for the US market, contrarian profits decline as one moves from small stocks to large stocks, but only when market frictions are considered. Furthermore, the contribution to contrarian profits due to the overreaction to the firm-specific component appears larger than the underreaction to the common factors." Copyright Blackwell Publishers Ltd, 2005.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonios Antoniou & Emilios C. Galariotis & Spyros I. Spyrou, 2005. "Contrarian Profits and the Overreaction Hypothesis: the Case of the Athens Stock Exchange," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 11(1), pages 71-98.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:eufman:v:11:y:2005:i:1:p:71-98
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    Cited by:

    1. Shangkari V Anusakumar & Ruhani Ali & Chee-Wooi Hooy, 2014. "Are momentum and contrarian effects related? Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(4), pages 2361-2367.
    2. Ramiah, Vikash & Cheng, Ka Yeung & Orriols, Julien & Naughton, Tony & Hallahan, Terrence, 2011. "Contrarian investment strategies work better for dually-traded stocks: Evidence from Hong Kong," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 140-156, January.
    3. Dimitrios D. Thomakos & Michail S. Koubouros, 2011. "The Role of Realised Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 15(1-2), pages 87-124, March - J.
    4. Emilios Galariotis, 2004. "Sources of contrarian profits and return predictability in emerging markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(14), pages 1027-1034.
    5. Ramiah, Vikash & Xu, Xiaoming & Moosa, Imad A., 2015. "Neoclassical finance, behavioral finance and noise traders: A review and assessment of the literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 89-100.
    6. Asiya Sohail & Attiya Yasmin Javid, 2014. "The Global Financial Crisis and Investors’ Behaviour; Evidence from the Karachi Stock Exchange," PIDE-Working Papers 2014:106, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    7. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2018. "Short-Term Price Overreactions: Identification, Testing, Exploitation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 913-940, April.
    8. Razvan Stefanescu & Ramona Dumitriu, 2016. "Contrarian and Momentum Profits during Periods of High Trading Volume preceded by Stock Prices Shocks," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 378-384.
    9. Wu, Yuliang & Li, Youwei, 2011. "Long-term return reversals--Value and growth or tax? UK evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 347-368, July.
    10. Dimitrios Kyriazis & Chris Christou, 2013. "A Re-examination of the Performance of Value Strategies in the Athens Stock Exchange," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 19(2), pages 131-151, May.
    11. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2015. "Long-Term Price Overreactions: Are Markets Inefficient?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1444, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    12. Bozos, Konstantinos & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2011. "Forecasting the value effect of seasoned equity offering announcements," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 418-427, October.
    13. repec:kap:iaecre:v:19:y:2013:i:2:p:131-151 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Galariotis, Emilios C. & Holmes, Phil & Ma, Xiaodong S., 2007. "Contrarian and momentum profitability revisited: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange 1964-2005," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 432-447, December.
    15. Lakatos, Máté, 2016. "A befektetői túlreagálás empirikus vizsgálata a Budapesti Értéktőzsdén
      [An empirical test for investor over-reaction on the Budapest stock exchange]
      ," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 762-786.
    16. Robert Cressy & Hisham Farag, 2011. "Do size and unobservable company factors explain stock price reversals?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 35(1), pages 1-21, January.
    17. Gülin Vardar & Berna Okan, 2008. "Short Term Overreaction Effect: Evidence on the Turkish Stock Market," Papers of the Annual IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics,in: Proceedings of the Conference on Emerging Economic Issues in a Globalizing World, pages 155-165 Izmir University of Economics.
    18. Dao, Thong M. & McGroarty, Frank & Urquhart, Andrew, 2016. "A calendar effect: Weekend overreaction (and subsequent reversal) in spot FX rates," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 37, pages 158-167.
    19. Dicle, Mehmet F. & Levendis, John, 2011. "Greek market efficiency and its international integration," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 229-246, April.
    20. repec:mfj:journl:v:16:y:2011:i:1-2:p:87-124 is not listed on IDEAS

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