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Remittances over the business cycle: Theory and evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Supriyo De
  • Ergys Islamaj
  • M. Ayhan Kose
  • S. Reza Yousefi

Abstract

We examine the behaviour of remittances over the business cycle and their potential to act as a ‘stabilizer’ during periods of high business cycle volatility. Two main findings are reported. First, remittances are less volatile than other foreign currency flows and do not appear to systemically comove with business cycle fluctuations. Second, remittances are relatively stable even during episodes of sharp business cycle volatility, such as those associated with sudden stops and financial crises. We also provide an overview of the theoretical literature on the implications of different motives to remit for the cyclical behaviour of remittances.

Suggested Citation

  • Supriyo De & Ergys Islamaj & M. Ayhan Kose & S. Reza Yousefi, 2019. "Remittances over the business cycle: Theory and evidence," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 48(3), November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:48:y:2019:i:3:n:e12143
    DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12143
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    JEL classification:

    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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