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La croissance des crédits dans les pays d’Europe centrale et orientale est-elle excessive ?




Les taux de croissance du crédit dépassent ou avoisinent 30 à 50 % l’an dans certains pays d’Europe centrale, orientale et du sud-est (pays baltes, Bulgarie, Roumanie, Albanie et Macédoine). Ces taux de croissance élevés sont-ils susceptibles de générer des « excès » de crédit, dommageables à l’économie ? Ou s’agit-il d’un effet normal du rattrapage, pour des pays peu bancarisés au moment de leur transition ?

Suggested Citation

  • Coudert, V. & Pouvelle, C., 2008. "La croissance des crédits dans les pays d’Europe centrale et orientale est-elle excessive ?," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 172, pages 39-67.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2008:172:04

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Philippe Askenazy & Gilbert Cette & Arnaud Sylvain, 2011. "Le partage de la valeur ajoutée," Post-Print halshs-00654669, HAL.
    2. Aránzazu Crespo Rodríguez & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Rubén Segura Cayuela, 2012. "Competitiveness indicators: the importance of an efficient allocation of resources," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España;Economic Bulletin Homepage, issue JAN, January.
    3. Giavazzi, Francesco & Spaventa, Luigi, 2010. "Why the current account may matter in a monetary union: Lessons from the financial crisis in the Euro area," CEPR Discussion Papers 8008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Jack Favilukis & David Kohn & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2012. "International Capital Flows and House Prices: Theory and Evidence," NBER Chapters,in: Housing and the Financial Crisis, pages 235-299 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Olivier Blanchard & Francesco Giavazzi, 2002. "Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area: The End of the Feldstein Horioka Puzzle?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(2), pages 147-210.
    6. Lane, Philip R. & Pels, Barbara, 2012. "Current Account Imbalances in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 8958, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2011. "A re-assessment of credit development in European transition economies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 128, pages 33-51.
    2. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2009. "Vulnerabilities in Central and Eastern Europe : Credit Growth," Working Papers 0912, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.

    More about this item


    Crédits bancaires; convergence; rattrapage.;

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages


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