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On the tendency of the market rate of interest to the natural rate in Ricardo’s analysis: some critical considerations

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  • Michele Ciccone

    (Analyst at the Italian Chamber of Deputies, Rome, Italy)

Abstract

This paper aims to be a critical discussion about one of the main accepted results of Ricardo’s theory of money and interest, i.e., that the ‘natural’ rate of interest is determined by the profit rate. It will be argued that some logical inconsistencies seem to affect Ricardo’s representation of the tendency of the market rate of interest to the natural rate, with the latter ultimately determined by the rate of profits. According to Ricardo, exogenous changes in the supply of, or demand for, money generate short-run changes of the money-prices ratio and the market interest rate, and permanent changes in the price level play the role of bringing them back to their natural values (the natural rate of interest being taken as a fraction of the natural profit rate). We will try to show that the convergence process envisaged by Ricardo seems to be not free from some critical considerations about its internal coherence if one takes into due account what he conceives to be the specific inducement for the public to borrow a larger quantity of money at a lower interest rate—namely, an above normal difference between profit rate and interest rate - together with the main institutional features of a monetary system

Suggested Citation

  • Michele Ciccone, 2023. "On the tendency of the market rate of interest to the natural rate in Ricardo’s analysis: some critical considerations," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 17(2), pages 149-176, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:awu:journl:v:17:y:2023:i:2:p:149-176
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    David Ricardo; market and natural rates of interest; classical theory of money; quantity theory of money;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B00 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - General - - - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches
    • B12 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - Classical (includes Adam Smith)
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General

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