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Potential Effects Of Climate Change On Agriculture In The Prairie Region Of Canada


  • Arthur, Louise M.
  • Abizadeh, Fay


The objective of this paper is to examine the effects of long-term climate change, as a consequence of doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide, on Canadian prairie agriculture. The climate change scenarios are based on regional results from two leading general circulation models (GCMs), and GFDL model and the GISS model. Although both scenarios suggest that average temperatures will increase in all areas of all three provinces by an annual average of 2.6 to 4.6 degrees centigrade, in some areas additional precipitation is enough to compensate for the increased evapotranspiration. Changes in crop revenues under current economic/technological conditions range from a 7% loss in Alberta under one GFDL scenario to an 8% increase in Saskatchewan under a slight different GFDL scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Arthur, Louise M. & Abizadeh, Fay, 1988. "Potential Effects Of Climate Change On Agriculture In The Prairie Region Of Canada," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(02), December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32107

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Bailey, DeeVon & Brorsen, B. Wade, 1985. "Dynamics Of Regional Fed Cattle Prices," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 10(01), July.
    2. Geweke, John & Meese, Richard & Dent, Warren, 1983. "Comparing alternative tests of causality in temporal systems : Analytic results and experimental evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 161-194, February.
    3. Nerlove, Marc & Grether, David M. & Carvalho, José L., 1979. "Analysis of Economic Time Series," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780125157506 edited by Shell, Karl.
    4. David A. Bessler & Jon A. Brandt, 1982. "Causality Tests in Livestock Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(1), pages 140-144.
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    Cited by:

    1. Brad Stennes & Emina Krcmar-Nozic & G. Cornelis van Kooten, 1998. "Climate Change and Forestry: What Policy for Canada?," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 24(s2), pages 95-104, May.
    2. Walburger, Allan M. & Klein, Kurt K., 1998. "Impacts Of Global Warming On Cropping Practices In Alberta," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20943, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Gomez, Sonia Quiroga & Iglesias, Ana, 2005. "Crop Production Functions for Analysis of Global Change Impacts in Spain," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24565, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Christopher Bryant & Barry Smit & Michael Brklacich & Thomas Johnston & John Smithers & Quentin Chjotti & Bhawan Singh, 2000. "Adaptation in Canadian Agriculture to Climatic Variability and Change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 181-201, April.
    5. John Reilly & Kenneth Richards, 1993. "Climate change damage and the trace gas index issue," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 3(1), pages 41-61, February.

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