IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v7(560)y2011i7(560)p54-64.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market: The Case of the Czech Republic

Author

Listed:
  • Yu HSING

    (Southeastern Louisiana University, USA)

Abstract

Applying the GARCH model, this paper finds that the Czech stock market index is positively associated with real GDP and the German and US stock market indexes, is negatively influenced by the ratio of government borrowing to GDP, the domestic real interest rate, the CZK/USD exchange rate, the expected inflation rate and the euro area government bond yield, and exhibits a quadratic relationship with the ratio of M2 to GDP. It suggests that the Czech stock market index and the M2/GDP ratio have a positive (negative) relationship if the M2/GDP ratio is less (greater) than the critical value of 60.0%. Hence, to promote a robust stock market, the authorities are expected to pursue or maintain economic growth, fiscal discipline, currency appreciation, a relatively low interest rate and expected inflation rate, and the M2/GDP ratio which is below the critical value of 60.0%.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu HSING, 2011. "Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market: The Case of the Czech Republic," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(7(560)), pages 54-64, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:7(560):y:2011:i:7(560):p:54-64
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/612.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=612&rid=76
    Download Restriction: no

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ali Umar Ahmad & Adam Abdullah & Zunaidah Sulong & Ahmad Tijjani Abdullahi, 2015. "The Review of Stock Returns and Macroeconomic Variables," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 5(5), pages 154-181, May.
    2. Saman, Corina, 2014. "Testing for nonlinearity of the relationship between stock prices and exchange rate in Romania," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting 141110, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    3. Ibrahim Awad & Mohanad Rezeq & Abdelrahman Aliwisat, 2014. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Al-Quds Index: Empirical Evidence from Palestine," International Journal of Financial Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(4), pages 228-241.
    4. Sugeng Wahyudi & H. Hersugondo & Rio Dhani Laksana & R. Rudy, 2017. "Macroeconomic Fundamental and Stock Price Index in Southeast Asia Countries: A Comparative Study," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 182-187.
    5. Godfrey Akileng & Eric Nzibonera & Micheal Mutegana, 2019. "The Influence of Foreign Exchange Volatility, Interest Rates on the Stock Performance of Uganda Securities Exchange," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 1-1.
    6. Hubert Wisniewski, 2017. "Panelowa weryfikacja wplywu zmiennych makroekonomicznych na indeksy gieldowe," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 15(66), pages 162-177.
    7. Corina Saman, 2015. "Asymmetric Interaction between Stock Price Index and Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 90-109, December.
    8. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2014. "Investment Strategy on the Zagreb Stock Exchange Based on Dynamic DEA," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 16(1), pages 129-160, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:7(560):y:2011:i:7(560):p:54-64. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Marin Dinu). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.