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The Life Cycle Implications of Temporary Employment Contracts

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  • Rosemary Kaiser

Abstract

Employment protections often create two-tiered labor markets with substantial differences in job security. I estimate the effects of removing these protections using a quantitative life cycle model, where younger workers are more likely to select into precarious jobs. Workers accumulate human capital when employed and face the possibility of human capital losses in unemployment. Because workers with greater job security experience fewer unemployment spells, they tend to accumulate more human capital over their careers. I show that reducing employment protections boosts younger workers' job-finding rates but lowers human capital, GDP, and employment. Impacts of these policies differ significantly by age.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosemary Kaiser, 2026. "The Life Cycle Implications of Temporary Employment Contracts," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 200-235, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:18:y:2026:i:3:p:200-235
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20230376
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kyle Herkenhoff & Gordon Phillips & Ethan Cohen-Cole, 2024. "How Credit Constraints Impact Job Finding Rates, Sorting, and Aggregate Output," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(5), pages 2832-2877.
    2. Benjamin S. Griffy, 2021. "Search And The Sources Of Life‐Cycle Inequality," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1321-1362, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts
    • J42 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Monopsony; Segmented Labor Markets

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