Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
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2007
- 2007-14 Diagnosing and treating bifurcations in perturbation analysis of dynamic macro models
by Jinill Kim & Andrew T. Levin & Tack Yun - 2007-12 Anchoring bias in consensus forecasts and its effect on market prices
by Sean D. Campbell & Steven A. Sharpe - 2007-10 Alternative methods of unit nonresponse weighting adjustments: an application from the 2003 Survey of Small Business Finances
by Lieu N. Hazelwood & Traci L. Mach & John D. Wolken - 2007-08 Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy
by Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte - 2007-05 Rounding and the impact of news: a simple test of market rationality
by Meredith Beechey & Jonathan H. Wright - 2007-01 A primer on the macroeconomic implications of population aging
by Louise Sheiner & Daniel Sichel & Lawrence Slifman
2006
- 2007-16 Studying consumption with the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: comparisons with the Consumer Expenditure Survey and an application to the intergenerational transmission of well-being
by Kerwin Kofi Charles & Sheldon Danziger & Geng Li & Robert F. Schoeni - 2007-15 Learning by investing--embodied technology and business cycles
by Geng Li - 2007-13 A brief history of the 1987 stock market crash with a discussion of the Federal Reserve response
by Mark Carlson - 2007-11 Expected stock returns and variance risk premia
by Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou - 2007-09 A cohort-based model of labor force participation
by Bruce Fallick & Jonathan Pingle - 2007-07 Estimating probabilities of recession in real time using GDP and GDI
by Jeremy J. Nalewaik - 2007-06 A closer look at the sensitivity puzzle: the sensitivity of expected future short rates and term premia to macroeconomic news
by Meredith Beechey - 2007-04 Rational seasonality
by Travis D. Nesmith - 2007-03 Linear cointegration of nonlinear time series with an application to interest rate dynamics
by Barry E. Jones & Travis D. Nesmith - 2007-02 Measurement of monetary aggregates across countries
by Yueh-Yun C. O'Brien - 2006-46 The competitive effects of risk-based bank capital regulation: an example from U.S. mortgage markets
by Diana Hancock & Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore & Shane M. Sherlund - 2006-45 A quantitative comparison of sticky-price and sticky-information models of price setting
by Michael T. Kiley - 2006-44 Shifting trends in semiconductor prices and the pace of technological progress
by Ana Aizcorbe & Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel - 2006-43 Inflation measurement
by David E. Lebow & Jeremy B. Rudd - 2006-42 An estimate of the inflation risk premium using a three-factor affine term structure model
by J. Benson Durham - 2006-41 The profitability of small, single-market banks in an era of multimarket banking
by Timothy H. Hannan & Robin A. Prager - 2006-40 Acquisition targets and motives in the banking industry
by Timothy H. Hannan & Steven J. Pilloff - 2006-39 Incorporating judgement in fan charts
by Pär Österholm - 2006-38 A model in which outside and inside money are essential
by David C. Mills, Jr. - 2006-37 Social Security's delayed retirement credit and the labor supply of older men
by Jonathan F. Pingle - 2006-36 Incompatibility and investment in ATM networks
by Timothy H. Hannan & Ron Borzekowski - 2006-35 Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads
by George Tauchen & Hao Zhou - 2006-34 Requirements and prospects for a new time to payoff disclosure for open end credit under Truth in Lending
by Thomas A. Durkin - 2006-33 The relocation decisions of working couples
by Jonathan F. Pingle - 2006-32 What do financial asset prices say about the housing market?
by J. Benson Durham - 2006-31 Why are plant deaths countercyclical: reallocation timing or fragility?
by Andrew Figura - 2006-30 GSEs, mortgage rates, and secondary market activities
by Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore & Shane M. Sherlund - 2006-29 A trend and variance decomposition of the rent-price ratio in housing markets
by Sean D. Campbell & Morris A. Davis & Joshua Gallin & Robert F. Martin - 2006-28 The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present
by Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Jonathan H. Wright - 2006-27 Are longer bankruptcies really more costly?
by Daniel M. Covitz & Song Han & Beth Anne Wilson - 2006-26 Solving linear rational expectations models: a horse race
by Gary S. Anderson - 2006-25 The price of residential land in large U.S. cities
by Morris A. Davis & Michael G. Palumbo - 2006-24 Intangible capital and economic growth
by Carol Corrado & Charles Hulten & Daniel Sichel - 2006-23 Explaining cyclical movements in employment: creative destruction or changes in utilization
by Andrew Figura - 2006-22 Monetary policy implementation without averaging or rate corridors
by William Whitesell - 2006-21 Likelihood ratio tests on cointegrating vectors, disequilibrium adjustment vectors, and their orthogonal complements
by Norman Morin - 2006-20 Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2006-19 A retrospective evaluation of the effects of temporary partial expensing
by Darrel Cohen & Jason Cummins - 2006-18 'Captive markets': the impact of kidnappings on corporate investment in Colombia
by Rony Pshisva & Gustavo A. Suarez - 2006-17 The choice at the checkout: quantifying demand across payment instruments
by Ron Borzekowski & Elizabeth K. Kiser - 2006-16 Consumers' use of debit cards: patterns, preferences, and price response
by Ron Borzekowski & Elizabeth K. Kiser & Shaista Ahmed - 2006-15 Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?
by Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei - 2006-14 Executive financial incentives and payout policy: firm responses to the 2003 dividend tax cut
by Jeffrey R. Brown & Nellie Liang & Scott Weisbenner - 2006-13 Currents and undercurrents: changes in the distribution of wealth, 1989-2004
by Arthur B. Kennickell - 2006-12 A fully-rational liquidity-based theory of IPO underpricing and underperformance
by Matthew Pritsker - 2006-11 Credit market competition and capital regulation
by Franklin Allen & Elena Carletti & Robert Marquez - 2006-10 Forecasting professional forecasters
by Eric Ghysels & Jonathan H. Wright - 2006-09 Incentives and prices for motor vehicles: what has been happening in recent years?
by Carol Corrado & Wendy Dunn & Maria Otoo - 2006-08 Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003
by Robert J. Tetlow & Brian Ironside - 2006-07 The yield curve and predicting recessions
by Jonathan H. Wright - 2006-06 Taxation with representation: intergovernmental grants in a plebiscite democracy
by Byron F. Lutz - 2006-05 The road to price stability
by Athanasios Orphanides - 2006-04 Outstanding outsourcers: a firm- and plant-level analysis of production sharing
by Christopher Johann Kurz - 2006-03 Do homeowners know their house values and mortgage terms?
by Brian Bucks & Karen Pence - 2006-02 Paper or plastic? the effect of time on the use of check and debit cards at grocery stores
by Elizabeth Klee - 2006-01 Families' use of payment instruments during a decade of change in the U.S. payment system
by Elizabeth Klee
2005
- 2005-70 Expectations formation and the effectiveness of strategies for limiting the consequences of the zero bound on interest rates
by David L. Reifschneider & John M. Roberts - 2005-69 Using structural shocks to identify models of investment
by John M. Roberts - 2005-68 Using subjective expectations to forecast longevity: do survey respondents know something we don't know?
by Maria G. Perozek - 2005-67 Escaping the Samaritan's Dilemma: implications of a dynamic model of altruistic intergenerational transfers
by Maria Perozek - 2005-66 Modelling inflation dynamics: a critical review of recent research
by Jeremy Rudd & Karl Whelan - 2005-65 Retail deposit fees and multimarket banking
by Timothy H. Hannan - 2005-64 Post Brown vs. the Board of Education: the effects of the end of court-ordered desegregation
by Byron F. Lutz - 2005-63 Explaining credit default swap spreads with the equity volatility and jump risks of individual firms
by Benjamin Yibin Zhang & Hao Zhou & Haibin Zhu - 2005-62 An inflation goal with multiple reference measures
by William Whitesell - 2005-61 How did the 2003 dividend tax cut affect stock prices?
by Gene Amromin & Paul Harrison & Steven Sharpe - 2005-60 The sustainability of health spending growth
by Glenn Follette & Louise Sheiner - 2005-59 A no-arbitrage analysis of economic determinants of the credit spread term structure
by Liuren Wu & Frank Xiaoling Zhang - 2005-58 Robustifying learnability
by Robert J. Tetlow & Peter von zur Muehlen - 2005-57 How did the 2003 dividend tax cut affect stock prices and corporate payout policy?
by Gene Amromin & Paul Harrison & Nellie Liang & Steve Sharpe - 2005-56 Competition and price discrimination in the market for mailing lists
by Ron Borzekowski & Raphael Thomadsen & Charles Taragin - 2005-55 Alternative central bank credit policies for liquidity provision in a model of payments
by David C. Mills, Jr. - 2005-54 Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?
by Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf & Daniel E. Sichel - 2005-53 Jump-diffusion processes and affine term structure models: additional closed-form approximate solutions, distributional assumptions for jumps, and parameter estimates
by J. Benson Durham - 2005-52 Solving stochastic money-in-the-utility-function models
by Travis D. Nesmith - 2005-51 Monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams - 2005-50 Measuring counterparty credit exposure to a margined counterparty
by Michael S. Gibson - 2005-49 Job creation and housing construction: constraints on metropolitan area employment growth
by Raven E. Saks - 2005-48 Term structure estimation with survey data on interest rate forecasts
by Don H. Kim & Athanasios Orphanides - 2005-47 Stock market volatility and the Great Moderation
by Sean D. Campbell - 2005-46 ATM surcharge bans and bank market structure: the case of Iowa and its neighbors
by Timothy H. Hannan - 2005-45 The effects of welfare reform and related policies on single mothers' welfare use and employment
by Adam Looney - 2005-44 The effect of anticipated tax changes on intertemporal labor supply and the realization of taxable income
by Adam Looney & Monica Singhal - 2005-43 The effects of mortgage prepayments on M2
by Yueh-Yun C. O'Brien - 2005-42 Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases
by Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David Small - 2005-41 Estimates of home mortgage originations, repayments, and debt on one-to-four-family residences
by Alan Greenspan & James Kennedy - 2005-40 Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices
by Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Yuhang Xing - 2005-39 Do nonfinancial firms use interest rate derivatives to hedge?
by Daniel Covitz & Steven A. Sharpe - 2005-38 How biased are measures of cyclical movements in productivity and hours?
by Stephanie Aaronson & Andrew Figura - 2005-37 A computationally efficient characterization of pure strategy Nash equilibria in large entry games
by Andrew Cohen - 2005-36 Large investors: implications for equilibrium asset, returns, shock absorption, and liquidity
by Matthew Pritsker - 2005-35 Liquidity, default, taxes and yields on municipal bonds
by Junbo Wang & Chunchi Wu & Frank Zhang - 2005-34 Optimal policy projections
by Lars E.O. Svensson & Robert J. Tetlow - 2005-33 An arbitrage-free three-factor term structure model and the recent behavior of long-term yields and distant-horizon forward rates
by Don H. Kim & Jonathan H. Wright - 2005-32 The household spending response to the 2003 tax cut: evidence from survey data
by Julia Lynn Coronado & Joseph P. Lupton & Louise M. Sheiner - 2005-31 Has output become more predictable? changes in Greenbook forecast accuracy
by Peter Tulip - 2005-30 Why and when do spot prices of crude oil revert to futures price levels?
by Mark W. French - 2005-29 Using federal funds futures contracts for monetary policy analysis
by Refet S. Gürkaynak - 2005-28 Gestation lags and the relationship between investment and Q in regressions
by Jonathan N. Millar - 2005-27 External habit and the cyclicality of expected stock returns
by Thomas D. Tallarini, Jr. & Harold H. Zhang - 2005-26 From the horse's mouth: gauging conditional expected stock returns from investor surveys
by Gene Amromin & Steven A. Sharpe - 2005-25 Prices, production, and inventories over the automotive model year
by Adam Copeland & Wendy Dunn & George Hall - 2005-24 Gestation lags for capital, cash flows, and Tobin's Q
by Jonathan N. Millar - 2005-23 Raising the bar for models of turnover
by Erwan Quintin & John J. Stevens - 2005-22 Growing old together: firm survival and employee turnover
by Erwan Quintin & John J. Stevens - 2005-21 A review of backtesting and backtesting procedures
by Sean D. Campbell - 2005-20 Branch banking, bank competition, and financial stability
by Mark Carlson & Kris James Mitchener - 2005-19 Temporary partial expensing in a general-equilibrium model
by Rochelle M. Edge & Jeremy B. Rudd - 2005-18 Yesterday's bad times are today's good old times: retail price changes in the 1890s were smaller, less frequent, and more permanent
by Alan Kackmeister - 2005-17 Are firms or workers behind the shift away from DB pension plan?
by Stephanie Aaronson & Julia Coronado - 2005-16 The effects of local banking market structure on the banking-lending channel of monetary policy
by Robert M. Adams & Dean F. Amel - 2005-15 The effects of competition from large, multimarket firms on the performance of small, single-market firms: evidence from the banking industry
by Allen N. Berger & Astrid A. Dick & Lawrence G. Goldberg & Lawrence J. White - 2005-14 Tracking the source of the decline in GDP volatility: an analysis of the automobile industry
by Valerie A. Ramey & Daniel J. Vine - 2005-13 Housing, house prices, and the equity premium puzzle
by Morris A. Davis & Robert F. Martin - 2005-12 A nonlinear look at trend MFP growth and the business cycle: result from a hybrid Kalman/Markov switching model
by Mark W. French - 2005-11 Job-hopping in Silicon Valley: some evidence concerning the micro-foundations of a high technology cluster
by Bruce Fallick & Charles A. Fleischman & James B. Rebitzer - 2005-09 Density selection and combination under model ambiguity: an application to stock returns
by Stefania D'Amico - 2005-07 GSEs, mortgage rates, and secondary market activities
by Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore & Shane M. Sherlund - 2005-06 The effect of housing government-sponsored enterprises on mortgage rates
by Wayne Passmore & Shane M. Sherlund & Gillian Burgess - 2005-05 The GSE implicit subsidy and the value of government ambiguity
by Wayne Passmore - 2005-04 Econometric tests of asset price bubbles: taking stock
by Refet S. Gürkaynak - 2005-03 Who competes with whom? the case of depository institutions
by Robert M. Adams & Kenneth P. Brevoort & Elizabeth K. Kiser - 2005-02 The reform of October 1979: how it happened and why
by David E. Lindsey & Athanasios Orphanides & Robert H. Rasche - 2005-01 Precautionary savings motives and tax efficiency of household portfolios: an empirical analysis
by Gene Amromin
2004
- 2005-10 An empirical analysis of bond recovery rates: exploring a structural view of default
by Daniel Covitz & Song Han - 2005-08 Does trading frequency affect subordinated debt spreads?
by Christopher Bianchi & Diana Hancock & Laura Kawano - 2004-70 The magnitude and cyclical behavior of financial market frictions
by Andrew T. Levin & Fabio M. Natalucci & Egon Zakrajsek - 2004-69 Alternative estimates of the presidential premium
by Sean D. Campbell & Canlin Li - 2004-68 The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time
by Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden - 2004-67 Learning dynamics with private and public signals
by Adam Copeland - 2004-66 Do actions speak louder than words? the response of asset prices to monetary policy actions and statements
by Refet Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson - 2004-65 Measuring capital and technology: an expanded framework
by Carol Corrado & Charles Hulten & Daniel Sichel - 2004-64 Reading the minds of investors: an empirical term structure model for policy analysis
by Jim Clouse - 2004-63 Housing, consumption, and credit constraints
by Andreas Lehnert - 2004-62 Monetary policy and inflation dynamics
by John M. Roberts - 2004-61 The liquidity effect in the federal funds market: evidence from daily open market operations
by Seth Carpenter & Selva Demiralp - 2004-60 Debt maturity, risk, and asymmetric information
by Allen N. Berger & Marco A. Espinosa-Vega & W. Scott Frame & Nathan H. Miller - 2004-59 Workweek flexibility and hours variation
by Andrew Figura - 2004-58 Diverging measures of capacity utilization: an explanation
by Norman Morin & John J. Stevens - 2004-57 Quantitative monetary easing and risk in financial asset markets
by Takeshi Kimura & David Small - 2004-56 Dynamic estimation of volatility risk premia and investor risk aversion from option-implied and realized volatilities
by Tim Bollerslev & Michael Gibson & Hao Zhou - 2004-55 A consistent accounting of U.S. productivity growth
by Eric J. Bartelsman & J. Joseph Beaulieu - 2004-54 Integrated macroeconomic accounts for the United States: draft SNA-USA
by Rochelle Antoniewicz & Susan Hume McIntosh & Charles Ian Mead & Karin Moses & Brent Moulton & Michael Palumbo & Genevieve Solomon & Albert M. Teplin - 2004-53 Market discipline in banking reconsidered: the roles of funding manager decisions and deposit insurance reform
by Daniel M. Covitz & Diana Hancock & Myron L. Kwast - 2004-52 Macroeconomic volatility, predictability and uncertainty in the Great Moderation: evidence from the survey of professional forecasters
by Sean D. Campbell - 2004-51 Consumer sentiment, the economy, and the news media
by Mark Doms & Norman Morin - 2004-50 The long-run relationship between house prices and rents
by Joshua Gallin - 2004-49 Estimating capacity utilization from survey data
by Norman Morin & John Stevens - 2004-48 Monetary policy alternatives at the zero bound: an empirical assessment
by Ben S. Bernanke & Vincent R. Reinhart & Brian P. Sack - 2004-47 Convenience or necessity? understanding the recent rise in credit card debt
by Kathleen W. Johnson - 2004-46 Competition, product differentiation and quality provision: an empirical equilibrium analysis of bank branching decisions
by Andrew Cohen & Michael J. Mazzeo - 2004-45 Expectation traps in a New Keynesian open economy model
by David M. Arseneau - 2004-44 Monetary policy and the information content of the yield spread
by Michael Feroli - 2004-43 Is moderate-to-high inflation inherently unstable?
by Michael T. Kiley - 2004-42 Do liquidity constraints matter for new entrepreneurs?
by Kevin Moore - 2004-41 Limited network connections and the distribution of wages
by Kenneth J. Arrow & Ron Borzekowski - 2004-40 The scope of monetary policy actions authorized under the Federal Reserve Act
by David H. Small & James A. Clouse - 2004-39 Integrating expenditure and income data: what to do with the statistical discrepancy?
by J. Joseph Beaulieu & Eric J. Bartelsman - 2004-38 Multimarket bank pricing: an empirical investigation of deposit interest rates
by Timothy H. Hannan & Robin A. Prager - 2004-37 The price and quantity of residential land in the United States
by Morris A. Davis & Jonathan Heathcote - 2004-36 Understanding the risk of synthetic CDOs
by Michael S. Gibson - 2004-35 Transparency and monetary policy: what does the academic literature tell policymakers?
by Seth B. Carpenter - 2004-34 Employer-to-employer flows in the U.S. labor market: the complete picture of gross worker flows
by Bruce Fallick & Charles A. Fleischman - 2004-33 To leave or not to leave: the distribution of bequest motives
by Wojciech Kopczuk & Joseph P. Lupton - 2004-32 The decline in household saving and the wealth effect
by F. Thomas Juster & Joseph P. Lupton & James P. Smith & Frank Stafford - 2004-31 How fast do personal computers depreciate? concepts and new estimates
by Mark E. Doms & Wendy E. Dunn & Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel - 2004-30 Technology, capital spending, and capacity utilization
by Cynthia Bansak & Norman Morin & Martha Starr - 2004-29 Overnight interbank loan markets
by Selva Demiralp & Brian Preslopsky & William Whitesell - 2004-28 Fresh start or head start? The effect of filing for personal bankruptcy on the labor supply
by Song Han & Wenli Li - 2004-27 Loan commitments and private firms
by Sumit Agarwal & Souphala Chomsisengphet & John C. Driscoll - 2004-26 Cross-border diversification in bank asset portfolios
by Claudia M. Buch & John C. Driscoll & Charlotte Ostergaard - 2004-25 Optimal inflation in an open economy with imperfect competition
by David M. Arseneau - 2004-24 Commercial lending and distance: evidence from Community Reinvestment Act data
by Kenneth P. Brevoort & Timothy H. Hannan - 2004-23 401(k) matching contributions in company stock: costs and benefits for firms and workers
by Jeffrey R. Brown & Nellie Liang & Scott Weisbenner - 2004-22 The geography of stock market participation: the influence of communities and local firms
by Jeffrey R. Brown & Zoran Ivkovic & Paul A. Smith & Scott Weisbenner - 2004-21 Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth
by Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams - 2004-20 Uncertainty and investment: an empirical investigation using data on analysts' profits forecasts
by Stephen R. Bond & Jason G. Cummins - 2004-18 The term structure of commercial paper rates
by Chris Downing & Stephen Oliner - 2004-17 A new approach to the valuation of intangible capital
by Jason G. Cummins - 2004-16 What explains the stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve policy?
by Ben S. Bernanke & Kenneth N. Kuttner - 2004-15 Medicaid's nursing home coverage and asset transfers
by William F. Bassett - 2004-14 The effects of technology on the age distribution of health spending: a cross-country perspective
by Louise Sheiner - 2004-13 Will the proposed application of Basel II in the United States encourage increased bank merger activity? evidence from past merger activity
by Timothy H. Hannan & Steven J. Pilloff - 2004-12 Potential competitive effects of Basel II on banks in SME credit markets in the United States
by Allen N. Berger - 2004-11 Housing and the business cycle
by Morris Davis & Jonathan Heathcote - 2004-10 Identifying price discrimination when product menus are endogenous
by Andrew Cohen - 2004-09 Testing for adverse selection and moral hazard in consumer loan markets
by Wendy Edelberg - 2004-08 Valuation, investment and the pure profit share
by Pierre Lafourcade - 2004-07 Modeling the whole firm: the effect of multiple inputs and financial intermediation on bank deposit rates
by Elizabeth K. Kiser - 2004-06 Federal Reserve transparency and financial market forecasts of short-term interest rates
by Eric T. Swanson - 2004-05 The effects of the 1986 and 1993 tax reforms on self-employment
by Kevin Moore - 2004-04 Market structure and competition among retail depository institutions
by Andew Cohen & Michael Mazzeo - 2004-03 Measuring the effects of monetary policy: a factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach
by Ben S. Bernanke & Jean Boivin & Piotr Eliasz - 2004-02 Market structure and market definition: the case of small market banks and thrifts
by Andrew Cohen