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Business, housing, and credit cycles
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Cited by:
- Han-Liang Cheng & Nan-Kuang Chen, 2021.
"A study of financial cycles and the macroeconomy in Taiwan,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1749-1778, October.
- Chen, Nan-Kuang & Cheng, Han-Liang, 2020. "A Study of Financial Cycles and the Macroeconomy in Taiwan," MPRA Paper 101296, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mariarosaria Comunale, 2017.
"Synchronicity of real and financial cycles and structural characteristics in EU countries,"
CEIS Research Paper
414, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 25 Sep 2017.
- Mariarosaria Comunale, 2017. "Synchronicity of real and financial cycles and structural characteristics in EU countries," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 15, Bank of Lithuania.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Financial factors and the business cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2020-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2023.
"Global financial cycles since 1880,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Kiel Working Papers 2122, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H, 2020. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Bank of England working papers 867, Bank of England.
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Global financial cycles since 1880," IMFS Working Paper Series 132, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Karsten Kohler & Benjamin Tippet & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023.
"House price cycles, housing systems, and growth models,"
European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 20(3), pages 461-490, December.
- Kohler, Karsten & Tippet, Ben & Stockhammer, Engelbert, 2022. "House price cycles, housing systems, and growth models," IPE Working Papers 194/2022, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019.
"Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2015. "Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-021, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113143, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Discussion Papers 22/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2017. "Characterizing the financial cycle: evidence from a frequency domain analysis," IMK Working Paper 189-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2021.
"Which Credit Gap Is Better at Predicting Financial Crises? A Comparison of Univariate Filters,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-31, October.
- Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2020. "Which credit gap is better at predicting financial crises? A comparison of univariate filters," BIS Working Papers 878, Bank for International Settlements.
- Grintzalis, Ioannis & Lodge, David & Manu, Ana-Simona, 2017. "The implications of global and domestic credit cycles for emerging market economies: measures of finance-adjusted output gaps," Working Paper Series 2034, European Central Bank.
- Önundur Páll Ragnarsson & Jón Magnús Hannesson & Loftur Hreinsson, 2019. "Financial cycles as early warning indicators - Lessons from the Nordic region," Economics wp80, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Rünstler, Gerhard, 2016. "How distinct are financial cycles from business cycles?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 26.
- Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019.
"Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy,"
Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
- Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2017. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 382, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Brian Micallef, 2016. "Property price misalignment with fundamentals in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2016, Central Bank of Malta.
- Bricongne, Jean-Charles & Meunier, Baptiste & Pouget, Sylvain, 2023.
"Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK,"
Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2021. "Web Scraping Housing Prices in Real-time: the Covid-19 Crisis in the UK," Working papers 827, Banque de France.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-04064185, HAL.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," Post-Print hal-04064185, HAL.
- Schüler, Yves S. & Hiebert, Paul P. & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2020. "Financial cycles: Characterisation and real-time measurement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Álvarez, Laura & García-Posada, Miguel & Mayordomo, Sergio, 2023.
"Distressed firms, zombie firms and zombie lending: A taxonomy,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
- Laura Álvarez & Miguel García-Posada & Sergio Mayordomo, 2022. "Distressed firms, zombie firms and zombie lending: a taxonomy," Working Papers 2219, Banco de España.
- Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019.
"Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
- Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021.
"Identifying indicators of systemic risk,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Discussion Papers 33/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2020.
"On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
- Schüler, Yves, 2020. "On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles," Discussion Papers 28/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Krustev, Georgi, 2019.
"The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 193-210.
- Krustev, Georgi, 2018. "The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2168, European Central Bank.
- Jasper de Winter & Siem Jan Koopman & Irma Hindrayanto, 2022. "Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 57-79, February.
- Davor Kunovac & Ivan Žilić, 2020. "Home sweet home: The effects of housing loan subsidies on the housing market in Croatia," Working Papers 60, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Jitka Pomenkova & Eva Klejmova & Zuzana Kucerova, 2019. "Cyclicality in lending activity of Euro area in pre- and post- 2008 crisis: a local-adaptive-based testing of wavelets," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 19(1), pages 155-175.
- Jaunius Karmelavičius & Ieva Mikaliūnaitė-Jouvanceau & Austėja Petrokaitė, 2022.
"Housing and credit misalignments in a two-market disequilibrium framework,"
Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series
42, Bank of Lithuania.
- Karmelavičius, Jaunius & Mikaliūnaitė-Jouvanceau, Ieva & Petrokaitė, Austėja Petrokaitė, 2022. "Housing and credit misalignments in a two-market disequilibrium framework," ESRB Working Paper Series 135, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Beau Soederhuizen & Rutger Teulings & Rob Luginbuhl, 2019. "Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy," CPB Discussion Paper 398, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Ashe, Sinéad & Egan, Paul, 2023. "Examining financial and business cycle interaction using cross recurrence plot analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Lang, Jan Hannes & Welz, Peter, 2018. "Semi-structural credit gap estimation," Working Paper Series 2194, European Central Bank.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Ochsner, Christian & Rohloff, Hannes, 2020.
"The credit composition of global liquidity,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
409, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Helmut Herwartz & Christian Ochsner & Hannes Rohloff, 2021. "The Credit Composition of Global Liquidity," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202115, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Rob Luginbuhl, 2020. "Estimation of the Financial Cycle with a Rank-Reduced Multivariate State-Space Model," CPB Discussion Paper 409, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2022. "Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: A Cross‐Country Perspective Using Wavelet Analysis," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 569-593, June.
- Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020.
"A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2021. "A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models," Working Paper Series WP-2021-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 03 Oct 2021.
- Katarzyna Budnik & Gerhard Rünstler, 2023.
"Identifying structural VARs from sparse narrative instruments: Dynamic effects of US macroprudential policies,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 186-201, March.
- Budnik, Katarzyna & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2020. "Identifying structural VARs from sparse narrative instruments: dynamic effects of U.S. macroprudential policies," Working Paper Series 2353, European Central Bank.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022.
"Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis,"
The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2019. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," Discussion Papers 22/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kátay Gábor & Kerdelhué Lisa & Lequien Matthieu, 2020.
"Semi-Structural VAR and Unobserved Components Models to Estimate Finance-Neutral Output Gap,"
Working papers
791, Banque de France.
- Gabor Katay & Lisa Kerdelhué & Matthieu Lequien, 2020. "Semi-Structural VAR and Unobserved Components Models to Estimate Finance-Neutral Output Gap," Working Papers 2020-11, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Hessler, Andrew, 2023. "Unobserved components model estimates of credit cycles: Tests and predictions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Xia, Fan Dora, 2020. "Forecasting recessions: the importance of the financial cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Constantinescu, Mihnea & Lastauskas, Povilas, 2018.
"The knotty interplay between credit and housing,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 241-266.
- Mihnea Constantinescu & Povilas Lastauskas, 2017. "The Knotty Interplay Between Credit and Housing," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 45, Bank of Lithuania.
- Hwang, Sun Ho & Kim, Yun Jung, 2021. "International output synchronization at different frequencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Li, Xiao-Lin & Yan, Jing & Wei, Xiaohui, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness among monetary policy cycle, financial cycle and business cycle in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 640-652.
- Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
- Rob Luginbuhl, 2020. "Estimation of the Financial Cycle with a Rank-Reduced Multivariate State-Space Model," CPB Discussion Paper 409.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
- Beirne, John, 2020.
"Financial cycles in asset markets and regions,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 358-374.
- Beirne, John, 2019. "Financial Cycles in Asset Markets and Regions," ADBI Working Papers 1052, Asian Development Bank Institute.
- Xin Tian & Jan Jacobs & Jakob de Haan, 2022. "Alternative Measures for the Global Financial Cycle: Do They Make a Difference?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9730, CESifo.
- Andrew E. Evans, 2020. "Average labour productivity dynamics over the business cycle," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1833-1863, October.
- Dennis Bonam & Peter van Els & Jan Willem van den End & Leo de Haan & Irma Hindrayanto, 2018. "The natural rate of interest from a monetary and financial perspective," DNB Occasional Studies 1603, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Kunovac, Davor & Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2018.
"Financial cycles in euro area economies: A cross-country perspective,"
Discussion Papers
04/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Davor Kunovac & Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: a cross-country perspective," Working Papers 55, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Álvarez-Román, Laura & García-Posada, Miguel, 2021. "Are house prices overvalued in Spain? A regional approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Natalia S. Nikitina, 2022. "Forecasting the Real Estate Price Index in Russia [Прогнозирование Индекса Цен На Недвижимость В России]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 23-28, June.
- Dmitrij Celov & Mariarosaria Comunale, 2022.
"Business Cycles in the EU: A Comprehensive Comparison Across Methods,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 99-146,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Dmitrij Celov, 2021. "Business cycles in the EU: A comprehensive comparison across methods," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 26, Bank of Lithuania.
- Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "New synchronicity indices between real and financial cycles: Is there any link to structural characteristics and recessions in European Union countries?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 617-641, October.
- Sala-Ríos, Mercé & Farré-Perdiguer, Mariona & Torres-Solé, Teresa, 2018. "How do Housing Prices and Business Cycles Interact in Spain? An Empirical Analysis/¿Cómo interactúan los precios de la vivienda y el ciclo económico en España? Un análisis empírico," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 36, pages 897-920, Septiembr.
- Greg Farrell & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 123-144, June.
- Natalia S. Nikitina, 2022. "Прогнозирование Индекса Цен На Недвижимость В России," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 23-28, June.
- Terhi Jokipii & Reto Nyffeler & Stéphane Riederer, 2021.
"Exploring BIS credit-to-GDP gap critiques: the Swiss case,"
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 157(1), pages 1-19, December.
- Dr. Terhi Jokipii & Dr. Reto Nyffeler & Stéphane Riederer, 2020. "Exploring BIS credit-to-GDP gap critiques: the Swiss case," Working Papers 2020-19, Swiss National Bank.
- Ekkehard Ernst & Faten Saliba, 2018. "Are House Prices Responsible for Unemployment Persistence?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 795-833, September.
- Kok, Christoffer & Mirza, Harun & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2019.
"Macro stress testing euro area banks’ fees and commissions,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 97-119.
- Kok, Christoffer & Pancaro, Cosimo & Mirza, Harun, 2017. "Macro stress testing euro area banks' fees and commissions," Working Paper Series 2029, European Central Bank.
- Tinghui Li & Junhao Zhong & Mark Xu, 2019. "Does the Credit Cycle Have an Impact on Happiness?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-19, December.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Policy, Monetary & Stability, Financial & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas , 2023. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
- Vítor Martins & Alessandro Turrini & Bořek Vašíček & Madalina Zamfir, 2021. "Euro Area Housing Markets: Trends, Challenges and Policy Responses," European Economy - Discussion Papers 147, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Schüler, Yves S. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Hiebert, Paul, 2017. "Coherent financial cycles for G-7 countries: Why extending credit can be an asset," ESRB Working Paper Series 43, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Andreea Maria Muraru, 2020. "The Impact of Global Tensions on the Economic and Financial Cycle in Romania," Postmodern Openings, Editura Lumen, Department of Economics, vol. 11(3), pages 115-128, October.
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Tzaawa-Krenzler, Mary, 2023. "Sticky information and the Taylor principle," IMFS Working Paper Series 189, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2020. "Unobserved components models with stochastic volatility for extracting trends and cycles in credit," Research Technical Papers 09/RT/20, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Rachida Hennani & John Theal, 2019. "Characterizing the Luxembourg financial cycle: Alternatives to statistical filters," BCL working papers 133, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2022. "Measuring financial cycles: Empirical evidence for Germany, United Kingdom and United States of America," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 599-630.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term!," Working Paper Series 2138, European Central Bank.
- policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
- Damjanović, Milan & Lenarčič, Črt, 2023. "Constructing a house price misalignment indicator: revisited and revamped," MPRA Paper 118489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Claudio Borio, 2017. "Secular stagnation or financial cycle drag?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 87-98, April.
- Hiebert, Paul & Jaccard, Ivan & Schüler, Yves, 2018. "Contrasting financial and business cycles: Stylized facts and candidate explanations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 72-80.