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A comparison of various forecasting techniques applied to mean hourly wind speed time series

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  1. Zhao, Weigang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Su, Zhongyue, 2016. "One day ahead wind speed forecasting: A resampling-based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 886-901.
  2. Jebaraj, S. & Iniyan, S., 2006. "A review of energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 281-311, August.
  3. Shahram Kaboodvandpour & Jamil Amanollahi & Samira Qhavami & Bakhtiyar Mohammadi, 2015. "Assessing the accuracy of multiple regressions, ANFIS, and ANN models in predicting dust storm occurrences in Sanandaj, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(2), pages 879-893, September.
  4. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao & Tian, Hong-qi & Li, Yan-fei, 2012. "A hybrid model for wind speed prediction using empirical mode decomposition and artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 545-556.
  5. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-Qi & Chen, Chao & Li, Yan-fei, 2010. "A hybrid statistical method to predict wind speed and wind power," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 1857-1861.
  6. Cadenas, E. & Jaramillo, O.A. & Rivera, W., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of wind velocity in chetumal, quintana roo, using the single exponential smoothing method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 925-930.
  7. A. Alexandridis & A. Zapranis, 2013. "Wind Derivatives: Modeling and Pricing," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 41(3), pages 299-326, March.
  8. Kiplangat, Dennis C. & Asokan, K. & Kumar, K. Satheesh, 2016. "Improved week-ahead predictions of wind speed using simple linear models with wavelet decomposition," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 38-44.
  9. Shrivastava, Nitin Anand & Lohia, Kunal & Panigrahi, Bijaya Ketan, 2016. "A multiobjective framework for wind speed prediction interval forecasts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(P2), pages 903-910.
  10. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.
  11. Tansu Filik, 2016. "Improved Spatio-Temporal Linear Models for Very Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-15, March.
  12. Jiani Heng & Chen Wang & Xuejing Zhao & Liye Xiao, 2016. "Research and Application Based on Adaptive Boosting Strategy and Modified CGFPA Algorithm: A Case Study for Wind Speed Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-25, March.
  13. Hu, Jianming & Wang, Jianzhou & Zeng, Guowei, 2013. "A hybrid forecasting approach applied to wind speed time series," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 185-194.
  14. José A. Domínguez-Navarro & Tania B. Lopez-Garcia & Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista, 2021. "Applying Wavelet Filters in Wind Forecasting Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-22, May.
  15. Lei, Ma & Shiyan, Luan & Chuanwen, Jiang & Hongling, Liu & Yan, Zhang, 2009. "A review on the forecasting of wind speed and generated power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 915-920, May.
  16. Rana Muhammad Adnan & Zhongmin Liang & Xiaohui Yuan & Ozgur Kisi & Muhammad Akhlaq & Binquan Li, 2019. "Comparison of LSSVR, M5RT, NF-GP, and NF-SC Models for Predictions of Hourly Wind Speed and Wind Power Based on Cross-Validation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, January.
  17. Ait Maatallah, Othman & Achuthan, Ajit & Janoyan, Kerop & Marzocca, Pier, 2015. "Recursive wind speed forecasting based on Hammerstein Auto-Regressive model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 191-197.
  18. Celik, A.N., 2003. "A simplified model for estimating the monthly performance of autonomous wind energy systems with battery storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 561-572.
  19. Rodrigues, Eugénio & Gomes, Álvaro & Gaspar, Adélio Rodrigues & Henggeler Antunes, Carlos, 2018. "Estimation of renewable energy and built environment-related variables using neural networks – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 959-988.
  20. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
  21. Cadenas, Erasmo & Rivera, Wilfrido, 2010. "Wind speed forecasting in three different regions of Mexico, using a hybrid ARIMA–ANN model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2732-2738.
  22. Akçay, Hüseyin & Filik, Tansu, 2017. "Short-term wind speed forecasting by spectral analysis from long-term observations with missing values," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 653-662.
  23. Cao, Qing & Ewing, Bradley T. & Thompson, Mark A., 2012. "Forecasting wind speed with recurrent neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 148-154.
  24. Feijóo, Andrés & Villanueva, Daniel, 2016. "Assessing wind speed simulation methods," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 473-483.
  25. Olaofe, Zaccheus O. & Folly, Komla A., 2013. "Wind energy analysis based on turbine and developed site power curves: A case-study of Darling City," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 306-318.
  26. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
  27. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Pan, Di-fu & Li, Yan-fei, 2013. "Forecasting models for wind speed using wavelet, wavelet packet, time series and Artificial Neural Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 191-208.
  28. Chehouri, Adam & Younes, Rafic & Ilinca, Adrian & Perron, Jean, 2015. "Review of performance optimization techniques applied to wind turbines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 361-388.
  29. Murthy, K.S.R. & Rahi, O.P., 2017. "A comprehensive review of wind resource assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1320-1342.
  30. Charakopoulos, Avraam & Karakasidis, Theodoros & Sarris, loannis, 2019. "Pattern identification for wind power forecasting via complex network and recurrence plot time series analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  31. Bouzgou, Hassen & Benoudjit, Nabil, 2011. "Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(7), pages 2463-2471, July.
  32. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing & Zhou, Junyi, 2011. "Bayesian adaptive combination of short-term wind speed forecasts from neural network models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 352-359.
  33. Roulston, M.S. & Kaplan, D.T. & Hardenberg, J. & Smith, L.A., 2003. "Using medium-range weather forcasts to improve the value of wind energy production," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 585-602.
  34. Blonbou, Ruddy, 2011. "Very short-term wind power forecasting with neural networks and adaptive Bayesian learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1118-1124.
  35. Ahmadi, Abdollah & Charwand, Mansour & Siano, Pierluigi & Nezhad, Ali Esmaeel & Sarno, Debora & Gitizadeh, Mohsen & Raeisi, Fatima, 2016. "A novel two-stage stochastic programming model for uncertainty characterization in short-term optimal strategy for a distribution company," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 117(P1), pages 1-9.
  36. Li, Jingrui & Wang, Jiyang & Li, Zhiwu, 2023. "A novel combined forecasting system based on advanced optimization algorithm - A study on optimal interval prediction of wind speed," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
  37. Yagang Zhang & Jingyun Yang & Kangcheng Wang & Yinding Wang, 2014. "Lorenz Wind Disturbance Model Based on Grey Generated Components," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-16, November.
  38. López, P. & Velo, R. & Maseda, F., 2008. "Effect of direction on wind speed estimation in complex terrain using neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 2266-2272.
  39. Wu, Xuedong & Zhu, Zhiyu & Su, Xunliang & Fan, Shaosheng & Du, Zhaoping & Chang, Yanchao & Zeng, Qingjun, 2015. "A study of single multiplicative neuron model with nonlinear filters for hourly wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 194-201.
  40. Jiang, Yu & Song, Zhe & Kusiak, Andrew, 2013. "Very short-term wind speed forecasting with Bayesian structural break model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 637-647.
  41. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Li, Yan-fei, 2012. "Comparison of two new ARIMA-ANN and ARIMA-Kalman hybrid methods for wind speed prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 415-424.
  42. Hossain, Md Maruf & Ali, Mohd. Hasan, 2015. "Future research directions for the wind turbine generator system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 481-489.
  43. Daojun Chen & Qingwu Gong & Bichang Zou & Xiaohui Zhang & Jian Zhao, 2012. "A Low-Carbon Dispatch Model in a Wind Power Integrated System Considering Wind Speed Forecasting and Energy-Environmental Efficiency," Energies, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-26, April.
  44. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
  45. Abdel-Aal, R.E. & Elhadidy, M.A. & Shaahid, S.M., 2009. "Modeling and forecasting the mean hourly wind speed time series using GMDH-based abductive networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1686-1699.
  46. Ramasamy, P. & Chandel, S.S. & Yadav, Amit Kumar, 2015. "Wind speed prediction in the mountainous region of India using an artificial neural network model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 338-347.
  47. Liu, Heping & Shi, Jing & Erdem, Ergin, 2010. "Prediction of wind speed time series using modified Taylor Kriging method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 4870-4879.
  48. Guo, Zhenhai & Zhao, Jing & Zhang, Wenyu & Wang, Jianzhou, 2011. "A corrected hybrid approach for wind speed prediction in Hexi Corridor of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1668-1679.
  49. Zhang, Yagang & Yang, Jingyun & Wang, Kangcheng & Wang, Zengping & Wang, Yinding, 2015. "Improved wind prediction based on the Lorenz system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 219-226.
  50. Aksoy, Hafzullah & Fuat Toprak, Z & Aytek, Ali & Erdem Ünal, N, 2004. "Stochastic generation of hourly mean wind speed data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(14), pages 2111-2131.
  51. Yoro, Kelvin O. & Daramola, Michael O. & Sekoai, Patrick T. & Wilson, Uwemedimo N. & Eterigho-Ikelegbe, Orevaoghene, 2021. "Update on current approaches, challenges, and prospects of modeling and simulation in renewable and sustainable energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  52. Jurado, Francisco & Saenz, José R., 2003. "An adaptive control scheme for biomass-based diesel–wind system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 45-57.
  53. Zhou, Wei & Lou, Chengzhi & Li, Zhongshi & Lu, Lin & Yang, Hongxing, 2010. "Current status of research on optimum sizing of stand-alone hybrid solar-wind power generation systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 380-389, February.
  54. Celik, A.N., 2006. "A simplified model for estimating yearly wind fraction in hybrid-wind energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 105-118.
  55. Aasim, & Singh, S.N. & Mohapatra, Abheejeet, 2019. "Repeated wavelet transform based ARIMA model for very short-term wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 758-768.
  56. Jung, Sungmoon & Kwon, Soon-Duck, 2013. "Weighted error functions in artificial neural networks for improved wind energy potential estimation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 778-790.
  57. Masseran, Nurulkamal, 2016. "Modeling the fluctuations of wind speed data by considering their mean and volatility effects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 777-784.
  58. Veysel Güldal & Hakan Tongal, 2010. "Comparison of Recurrent Neural Network, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Stochastic Models in Eğirdir Lake Level Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(1), pages 105-128, January.
  59. Li, Jingrui & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Haipeng & Li, Zhiwu, 2022. "An innovative combined model based on multi-objective optimization approach for forecasting short-term wind speed: A case study in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 766-779.
  60. Tascikaraoglu, A. & Uzunoglu, M., 2014. "A review of combined approaches for prediction of short-term wind speed and power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 243-254.
  61. Suganthi, L. & Iniyan, S. & Samuel, Anand A., 2015. "Applications of fuzzy logic in renewable energy systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 585-607.
  62. Yuan, Shengxi & Kocaman, Ayse Selin & Modi, Vijay, 2017. "Benefits of forecasting and energy storage in isolated grids with large wind penetration – The case of Sao Vicente," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 167-174.
  63. Costa, Alexandre & Crespo, Antonio & Navarro, Jorge & Lizcano, Gil & Madsen, Henrik & Feitosa, Everaldo, 2008. "A review on the young history of the wind power short-term prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(6), pages 1725-1744, August.
  64. Turbelin, Grégory & Ngae, Pierre & Grignon, Michel, 2009. "Wavelet cross-correlation analysis of wind speed series generated by ANN based models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1024-1032.
  65. Yakoub, Ghali & Mathew, Sathyajith & Leal, Joao, 2023. "Intelligent estimation of wind farm performance with direct and indirect ‘point’ forecasting approaches integrating several NWP models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PD).
  66. Liu, Heping & Erdem, Ergin & Shi, Jing, 2011. "Comprehensive evaluation of ARMA-GARCH(-M) approaches for modeling the mean and volatility of wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 724-732, March.
  67. José Carlos Palomares-Salas & Agustín Agüera-Pérez & Juan José González de la Rosa & José María Sierra-Fernández & Antonio Moreno-Muñoz, 2013. "Exogenous Measurements from Basic Meteorological Stations for Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 6(11), pages 1-19, November.
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