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Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction

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  • Bouzgou, Hassen
  • Benoudjit, Nabil
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    Abstract

    A new approach based on multiple architecture system (MAS) for the prediction of wind speed is proposed. The motivation behind the proposed approach is to combine the complementary predictive powers of multiple models in order to improve the performance of the prediction process. The proposed MAS can be implemented by associating the predictions obtained from the different regression algorithms (MLR, MLP, RBF and SVM) making up the ensemble by three fusion strategies (simple, weighted and non-linear). The efficiency of the proposed approach has been assessed on a real data set recorded from seven locations in Algeria during a period of 10Â years. The experimental results point out that the proposed MAS approach is capable of improving the precision of the wind speed prediction compared to the traditional prediction methods.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Applied Energy.

    Volume (Year): 88 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 7 (July)
    Pages: 2463-2471

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:88:y:2011:i:7:p:2463-2471

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    Related research

    Keywords: Wind speed prediction Multiple architecture system Neural networks Support vector machines Fusion;

    References

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    1. Sánchez, Ismael, 2008. "Adaptive combination of forecasts with application to wind energy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 679-693.
    2. Erdem, Ergin & Shi, Jing, 2011. "ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1405-1414, April.
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    13. Himri, Y. & Boudghene Stambouli, A. & Draoui, B. & Himri, S., 2009. "Review of wind energy use in Algeria," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 910-914, May.
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    Cited by:
    1. Jung, Sungmoon & Kwon, Soon-Duck, 2013. "Weighted error functions in artificial neural networks for improved wind energy potential estimation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 778-790.
    2. José Carlos Palomares-Salas & Agustín Agüera-Pérez & Juan José González de la Rosa & José María Sierra-Fernández & Antonio Moreno-Muñoz, 2013. "Exogenous Measurements from Basic Meteorological Stations for Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(11), pages 5807-5825, November.
    3. Tascikaraoglu, A. & Erdinc, O. & Uzunoglu, M. & Karakas, A., 2014. "An adaptive load dispatching and forecasting strategy for a virtual power plant including renewable energy conversion units," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 445-453.
    4. Kirchner-Bossi, N. & Prieto, L. & García-Herrera, R. & Carro-Calvo, L. & Salcedo-Sanz, S., 2013. "Multi-decadal variability in a centennial reconstruction of daily wind," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 30-46.
    5. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Pan, Di-fu & Li, Yan-fei, 2013. "Forecasting models for wind speed using wavelet, wavelet packet, time series and Artificial Neural Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 191-208.

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