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China's energy and emissions outlook to 2050: Perspectives from bottom-up energy end-use model

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  1. de la Rue du Can, Stephane & Price, Lynn & Zwickel, Timm, 2015. "Understanding the full climate change impact of energy consumption and mitigation at the end-use level: A proposed methodology for allocating indirect carbon dioxide emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 548-559.
  2. Wei Zhou & Alice Moncaster & David M Reiner & Peter Guthrie, 2019. "Estimating Lifetimes and Stock Turnover Dynamics of Urban Residential Buildings in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-18, July.
  3. Hualong Yang & Xuefei Ma & Yuwei Xing, 2017. "Trends in CO 2 Emissions from China-Oriented International Marine Transportation Activities and Policy Implications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, July.
  4. Chao Wang & Yue‐Jun Zhang, 2020. "Does environmental regulation policy help improve green production performance? Evidence from China's industry," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(2), pages 937-951, March.
  5. Tan, Jianhua & Chen, Tao & Zhang, Peng & Chan, Kam C., 2021. "Environmental rule enforcement and cash holdings: Evidence from a natural experiment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  6. Peng, Wei & Yang, Junnan & Lu, Xi & Mauzerall, Denise L., 2018. "Potential co-benefits of electrification for air quality, health, and CO2 mitigation in 2030 China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 511-519.
  7. Yin, Xiang & Chen, Wenying & Eom, Jiyong & Clarke, Leon E. & Kim, Son H. & Patel, Pralit L. & Yu, Sha & Kyle, G. Page, 2015. "China's transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 233-248.
  8. Jiayuan Zhou & Yunxia Li & Bo Li, 2022. "Restructure or Misallocation? Enterprises’ Carbon Emission Intensity under Market Integration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-18, December.
  9. Yuan, Jiahai & Lei, Qi & Xiong, Minpeng & Guo, Jingsheng & Hu, Zheng, 2016. "The prospective of coal power in China: Will it reach a plateau in the coming decade?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 495-504.
  10. Rauf, Abdul & Zhang, Jin & Li, Jinkai & Amin, Waqas, 2018. "Structural changes, energy consumption and carbon emissions in China: Empirical evidence from ARDL bound testing model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 194-206.
  11. de la Rue du Can, Stephane & Khandekar, Aditya & Abhyankar, Nikit & Phadke, Amol & Khanna, Nina Zheng & Fridley, David & Zhou, Nan, 2019. "Modeling India’s energy future using a bottom-up approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1108-1125.
  12. Gambhir, Ajay & Tse, Lawrence K.C. & Tong, Danlu & Martinez-Botas, Ricardo, 2015. "Reducing China’s road transport sector CO2 emissions to 2050: Technologies, costs and decomposition analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 905-917.
  13. Ma, Minda & Cai, Wei & Cai, Weiguang, 2018. "Carbon abatement in China's commercial building sector: A bottom-up measurement model based on Kaya-LMDI methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 350-368.
  14. Cheng, Beibei & Dai, Hancheng & Wang, Peng & Xie, Yang & Chen, Li & Zhao, Daiqing & Masui, Toshihiko, 2016. "Impacts of low-carbon power policy on carbon mitigation in Guangdong Province, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 515-527.
  15. Duan, Haiyan & Chen, Siyan & Song, Junnian, 2022. "Characterizing regional building energy consumption under joint climatic and socioeconomic impacts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
  16. Xiaodie Liu & Xiangqian Wang & Xiangrui Meng, 2023. "Carbon Emission Scenario Prediction and Peak Path Selection in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-17, February.
  17. Li, Xi & Yu, Biying, 2019. "Peaking CO2 emissions for China's urban passenger transport sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  18. Garfield Wayne Hunter & Gideon Sagoe & Daniele Vettorato & Ding Jiayu, 2019. "Sustainability of Low Carbon City Initiatives in China: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-37, August.
  19. Tang, Lei & Wang, Xifan & Wang, Xiuli & Shao, Chengcheng & Liu, Shiyu & Tian, Shijun, 2019. "Long-term electricity consumption forecasting based on expert prediction and fuzzy Bayesian theory," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 1144-1154.
  20. Xu, Guangyue & Wang, Weimin, 2020. "China’s energy consumption in construction and building sectors: An outlook to 2100," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  21. Gu, Gaoxiang & Wang, Zheng & Wu, Leying, 2021. "Carbon emission reductions under global low-carbon technology transfer and its policy mix with R&D improvement," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
  22. Yuan, Jiahai & Li, Peng & Wang, Yang & Liu, Qian & Shen, Xinyi & Zhang, Kai & Dong, Liansai, 2016. "Coal power overcapacity and investment bubble in China during 2015–2020," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 136-144.
  23. Pin Li & Jin-Suo Zhang, 2018. "A New Hybrid Method for China’s Energy Supply Security Forecasting Based on ARIMA and XGBoost," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-28, June.
  24. Zhao, Chengwei & Xu, Xuanhua & Liu, Ruihuan & He, Jishan, 2021. "A multi-aspect coordination HDRED site selection framework under multi-type heterogeneous environments," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 833-848.
  25. Zheng, Bo & Zhang, Qiang & Borken-Kleefeld, Jens & Huo, Hong & Guan, Dabo & Klimont, Zbigniew & Peters, Glen P. & He, Kebin, 2015. "How will greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles be constrained in China around 2030?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 230-240.
  26. Jay Fuhrman & Andres F. Clarens & Haewon McJeon & Pralit Patel & Scott C. Doney & William M. Shobe & Shreekar Pradhan, 2020. "The role of negative emissions in meeting China's 2060 carbon neutrality goal," Papers 2010.06723, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
  27. Yuan, Jiahai & Xu, Yan & Hu, Zheng & Zhao, Changhong & Xiong, Minpeng & Guo, Jingsheng, 2014. "Peak energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 508-523.
  28. Igos, Elorri & Rugani, Benedetto & Rege, Sameer & Benetto, Enrico & Drouet, Laurent & Zachary, Daniel S., 2015. "Combination of equilibrium models and hybrid life cycle-input–output analysis to predict the environmental impacts of energy policy scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 234-245.
  29. Chen, Yuhong & Lyu, Yanfeng & Yang, Xiangdong & Zhang, Xiaohong & Pan, Hengyu & Wu, Jun & Lei, Yongjia & Zhang, Yanzong & Wang, Guiyin & Xu, Min & Luo, Hongbin, 2022. "Performance comparison of urea production using one set of integrated indicators considering energy use, economic cost and emissions’ impacts: A case from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
  30. Xiangzhao FENG & Oleg LUGOVOY & Sheng YAN & Hu QIN, 2016. "Co-Benefits of CO2 and NOx Emission Control in China’s Cement Industry," Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies (CJUES), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(04), pages 1-20, December.
  31. Tan, Xianchun & Lai, Haiping & Gu, Baihe & Zeng, Yuan & Li, Hui, 2018. "Carbon emission and abatement potential outlook in China's building sector through 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 429-439.
  32. Xiaofeng Lv & Kun Lin & Lingshan Chen & Yongzhong Zhang, 2022. "Does Retirement Affect Household Energy Consumption Structure? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-14, September.
  33. Yang, Tao & Pan, Yiqun & Yang, Yikun & Lin, Meishun & Qin, Bingyue & Xu, Peng & Huang, Zhizhong, 2017. "CO2 emissions in China's building sector through 2050: A scenario analysis based on a bottom-up model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 208-223.
  34. Zhang, Shicong & Xu, Wei & Wang, Ke & Feng, Wei & Athienitis, Andreas & Hua, Ge & Okumiya, Masaya & Yoon, Gyuyoung & Cho, Dong woo & Iyer-Raniga, Usha & Mazria, Edward & Lyu, Yanjie, 2020. "Scenarios of energy reduction potential of zero energy building promotion in the Asia-Pacific region to year 2050," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
  35. Tao Ge & Jinye Li & Cang Wang, 2023. "Econometric analysis of the impact of innovative city pilots on CO2 emissions in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(9), pages 9359-9386, September.
  36. Wang, Jie & Xiong, Yiling & Tian, Xin & Liu, Shangwei & Li, Jiashuo & Tanikawa, Hiroki, 2018. "Stagnating CO2 emissions with in-depth socioeconomic transition in Beijing," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1714-1725.
  37. Gongyi Zhang & Chang Zhang & Hongguang Nie, 2021. "An Overview of China’s Energy Labeling Policy Portfolio: China’s Contribution to Addressing the Global Goal of Sustainable Development," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440209, January.
  38. Zheng Guo & Pei Liu & Linwei Ma & Zheng Li, 2015. "Effects of Low-Carbon Technologies and End-Use Electrification on Energy-Related Greenhouse Gases Mitigation in China by 2050," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-24, July.
  39. Tang, Baojun & Li, Ru & Yu, Biying & An, Runying & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2018. "How to peak carbon emissions in China's power sector: A regional perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 365-381.
  40. Zeng, Yuan & Tan, Xianchun & Gu, Baihe & Wang, Yi & Xu, Baoguang, 2016. "Greenhouse gas emissions of motor vehicles in Chinese cities and the implication for China’s mitigation targets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1016-1025.
  41. Wang, Hailin & Ou, Xunmin & Zhang, Xiliang, 2017. "Mode, technology, energy consumption, and resulting CO2 emissions in China's transport sector up to 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 719-733.
  42. Wang, Chen & Engels, Anita & Wang, Zhaohua, 2018. "Overview of research on China's transition to low-carbon development: The role of cities, technologies, industries and the energy system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1350-1364.
  43. Islam, Md. Monirul & Irfan, Muhammad & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption in Bangladesh: The relative influencing profiles of economic factors, urbanization, physical infrastructure and institutional quality," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1130-1149.
  44. Liu, Junling & Yin, Mingjian & Xia-Hou, Qinrui & Wang, Ke & Zou, Ji, 2021. "Comparison of sectoral low-carbon transition pathways in China under the nationally determined contribution and 2 °C targets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  45. Junxiao Wei & Kuang Cen, 2019. "A preliminary calculation of cement carbon dioxide in China from 1949 to 2050," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 1343-1362, December.
  46. Tang, Bao-Jun & Li, Xiao-Yi & Yu, Biying & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2019. "Sustainable development pathway for intercity passenger transport: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
  47. Liu, Yaqin & Zhao, Guohao & Zhao, Yushan, 2016. "An analysis of Chinese provincial carbon dioxide emission efficiencies based on energy consumption structure," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 524-533.
  48. Yang, Dewei & Liu, Dandan & Huang, Anmin & Lin, Jianyi & Xu, Lingxing, 2021. "Critical transformation pathways and socio-environmental benefits of energy substitution using a LEAP scenario modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  49. Francisco Amaral & Alex Santos & Ewerton Calixto & Fernando Pessoa & Delano Santana, 2020. "Exergetic Evaluation of an Ethylene Refrigeration Cycle," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-21, July.
  50. Jiang, Jingjing & Ye, Bin & Liu, Junguo, 2019. "Research on the peak of CO2 emissions in the developing world: Current progress and future prospect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 186-203.
  51. Wen, Zongguo & Chen, Min & Meng, Fanxin, 2015. "Evaluation of energy saving potential in China's cement industry using the Asian-Pacific Integrated Model and the technology promotion policy analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 227-237.
  52. Tsai, Miao-Shan & Chang, Ssu-Li, 2015. "Taiwan’s 2050 low carbon development roadmap: An evaluation with the MARKAL model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 178-191.
  53. Mahumane, Gilberto & Mulder, Peter, 2015. "Mozambique Energy Outlook, 2015-2030. Data, scenarios and policy implications," MPRA Paper 65968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  54. Yang, Yuan & Wang, Can & Liu, Wenling & Zhou, Peng, 2017. "Microsimulation of low carbon urban transport policies in Beijing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 561-572.
  55. Shimoda, Yoshiyuki & Sugiyama, Minami & Nishimoto, Ryuya & Momonoki, Takashi, 2021. "Evaluating decarbonization scenarios and energy management requirement for the residential sector in Japan through bottom-up simulations of energy end-use demand in 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
  56. Tao Song & Xinling Zou & Nuo Wang & Danyang Zhang & Yuxiang Zhao & Erdan Wang, 2023. "Prediction of China’s Carbon Peak Attainment Pathway from Both Production-Side and Consumption-Side Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.
  57. Yue, Hui & Worrell, Ernst & Crijns-Graus, Wina, 2018. "Modeling the multiple benefits of electricity savings for emissions reduction on power grid level: A case study of China’s chemical industry," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 1603-1632.
  58. Kejun, Jiang & Chenmin, He & Songli, Zhu & Pianpian, Xiang & Sha, Chen, 2021. "Transport scenarios for China and the role of electric vehicles under global 2 °C/1.5 °C targets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  59. Wang, Qiang & Wu, Shi-dai & Zeng, Yue-e & Wu, Bo-wei, 2016. "Exploring the relationship between urbanization, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions in different provinces of China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1563-1579.
  60. Ding, Suiting & Zhang, Ming & Song, Yan, 2019. "Exploring China's carbon emissions peak for different carbon tax scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1245-1252.
  61. Joshua Sunday Riti & Deyong Song & Yang Shu & Miriam Kamah & Agya Adi Atabani, 2018. "Does renewable energy ensure environmental quality in favour of economic growth? Empirical evidence from China’s renewable development," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(5), pages 2007-2030, September.
  62. Zhang, Yaru & Ma, Tieju & Guo, Fei, 2018. "A multi-regional energy transport and structure model for China’s electricity system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 907-919.
  63. Zhang, Junjie & Yan, Zengfeng & Bi, Wenbei & Ni, Pingan & Lei, Fuming & Yao, Shanshan & Lang, Jiachen, 2023. "Prediction and scenario simulation of the carbon emissions of public buildings in the operation stage based on an energy audit in Xi'an, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
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  67. Liang, Yuanyuan & Yu, Biying & Wang, Lu, 2019. "Costs and benefits of renewable energy development in China's power industry," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 700-712.
  68. Yannan Zhou & Jixia Huang & Mingxiang Huang & Yicheng Lin, 2019. "The Driving Forces of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent Emissions Have Spatial Spillover Effects in Inner Mongolia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-14, May.
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  72. Linwei Pan & Minglei Zhu & Ningning Lang & Tengfei Huo, 2020. "What Is the Amount of China’s Building Floor Space from 1996 to 2014?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-17, August.
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