IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/mpifgd/281202.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The sunshine problem: Climate change and managed decline in the European Union

Author

Listed:
  • Ergen, Timur
  • Schmitz, Luuk

Abstract

Decarbonization requires the winding down of - economically - fully viable, if not highly prosperous, lines of economic activity. Different from past episodes of industrial restructuring revolving around the managed decline of sunset industries, accelerating climate change requires reallocation away from economic activities where the metaphorical sun is still shining. Firms, owners, workers, regions, and polities structurally rely on these sources of prosperity and have interwoven their past and future lives with them. We argue that this problem has created a space for state actors to experiment with vertical industrial policies to manage the reallocation of resources from polluting to non-polluting activities. We illustrate this dynamic by investigating the least-likely case of the European Union, a polity heavily tilted towards market governance. European climate policymakers, we argue, have incrementally moved away from the primacy of regulatory, market-making tools and have introduced a plethora of vertical instruments to shift resources away from climate-harming fields. This experimentation with vertical policies unfolds against the backdrop of a thirty-year institutional legacy of single market-oriented policy in the energy field.

Suggested Citation

  • Ergen, Timur & Schmitz, Luuk, 2023. "The sunshine problem: Climate change and managed decline in the European Union," MPIfG Discussion Paper 23/6, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:mpifgd:281202
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/281202/1/1878699911.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Georgia Piggot & Peter Erickson & Harro van Asselt & Michael Lazarus, 2018. "Swimming upstream: addressing fossil fuel supply under the UNFCCC," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 1189-1202, October.
    2. Leigh Raymond, 2020. "Carbon pricing and economic populism: the case of Ontario," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(9), pages 1127-1140, October.
    3. Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés & Bartalucci, Federico, 2023. "The green transition and its potential territorial discontents," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120536, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Jonas Meckling, 2021. "Making Industrial Policy Work for Decarbonization," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 21(4), pages 134-147, Autumn.
    5. Kevin Young & Stefano Pagliari, 2017. "Capital united? Business unity in regulatory politics and the special place of finance," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(1), pages 3-23, March.
    6. Karl Aiginger & Dani Rodrik, 2020. "Rebirth of Industrial Policy and an Agenda for the Twenty-First Century," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 189-207, June.
    7. Robert J. Brulle & Melissa Aronczyk & Jason Carmichael, 2020. "Corporate promotion and climate change: an analysis of key variables affecting advertising spending by major oil corporations, 1986–2015," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(1), pages 87-101, March.
    8. Frederick van der Ploeg & Armon Rezai, 2020. "Stranded Assets in the Transition to a Carbon-Free Economy," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 281-298, October.
    9. Bentley Allan & Joanna I. Lewis & Thomas Oatley, 2021. "Green Industrial Policy and the Global Transformation of Climate Politics," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 21(4), pages 1-19, Autumn.
    10. Brett Christophers, 2022. "Fossilised Capital: Price and Profit in the Energy Transition," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 146-159, January.
    11. Karoliina Isoaho & Jochen Markard, 2020. "The Politics of Technology Decline: Discursive Struggles over Coal Phase‐Out in the UK," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 37(3), pages 342-368, May.
    12. Florence Dafe, 2019. "Fuelled Power: Oil, Financiers and Central Bank Policy in Nigeria," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 641-658, September.
    13. Jørgen Wettestad, 2014. "Rescuing EU Emissions Trading: Mission Impossible?," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 14(2), pages 64-81, May.
    14. Brauers, Hanna & Oei, Pao-Yu & Walk, Paula, 2020. "Comparing coal phase-out pathways: The United Kingdom’s and Germany’s diverging transitions," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 37, pages 238-253.
    15. Ha‐Joon Chang & Antonio Andreoni, 2020. "Industrial Policy in the 21st Century," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 51(2), pages 324-351, March.
    16. Torbjørg Jevnaker & Jørgen Wettestad, 2017. "Ratcheting Up Carbon Trade: The Politics of Reforming EU Emissions Trading," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 17(2), pages 105-124, May.
    17. Boon, Marten, 2019. "A Climate of Change? The Oil Industry and Decarbonization in Historical Perspective," Business History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 93(1), pages 101-125, April.
    18. Jørgen Wettestad & Torbjørg Jevnaker, 2019. "Smokescreen Politics? Ratcheting Up EU Emissions Trading in 2017," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 36(5), pages 635-659, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jonas Meckling & Jesse Strecker, 2023. "Green bargains: leveraging public investment to advance climate regulation," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 418-429, April.
    2. Gergely Buda & Judit Ricz, 2023. "Industrial symbiosis and industrial policy for sustainable development in Uganda," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 165-189, April.
    3. Hafele, Jakob & Le Lannou, Laure-Alizée & Rochowicz, Nils & Kuhls, Sonia & Gräbner-Radkowitsch, Claudius, 2023. "Securing future-fit jobs in the green transformation: A policy framework for industrial policy," ZOE Discussion Papers 10, ZOE. institute for future-fit economies, Bonn.
    4. Sato, Misato & Rafaty, Ryan & Calel, Raphael & Grubb, Michael, 2022. "Allocation, allocation, allocation! The political economy of the development of the European Union Emissions Trading System," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115431, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Claire Dupont & Brendan Moore, 2019. "Brexit and the EU in Global Climate Governance," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(3), pages 51-61.
    6. Brendan Moore & Andrew Jordan, 2020. "Disaggregating the dependent variable in policy feedback research: an analysis of the EU Emissions Trading System," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 53(2), pages 291-307, June.
    7. Dmitry O. Skobelev, 2020. "Industrial policy of increasing resource efficiency and the achievement of the sustainable development goals," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 21(4), pages 153-173, December.
    8. Ioanna Kastelli & Lukasz Mamica & Keun Lee, 2023. "New perspectives and issues in industrial policy for sustainable development: from developmental and entrepreneurial to environmental state," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-25, April.
    9. Matt Andrews & Peter Harrington, 2023. "Facilitating learning and discovery-oriented industrial policy in Albania," CID Working Papers 431, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    10. Diane Coyle & Adam Muhtar, 2021. "UK’s Industrial Policy: Learning from the past?," Insight Papers 002, The Productivity Institute.
    11. Samuel Klebaner & Anaïs Voy-Gillis, 2023. "The political economy of French industrial policymaking," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 49-74, April.
    12. Raymond, Leigh, 2019. "Policy perspective:Building political support for carbon pricing—Lessons from cap-and-trade policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    13. Shen, Wei & Ayele, Seife & Worako, Tadesse Kuma, 2023. "The political economy of green industrial policy in Africa: Unpacking the coordination challenges in Ethiopia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    14. Faber, Hugo, 2023. "How does falling incumbent profitability affect energy policy discourse? The discursive construction of nuclear phaseouts and insufficient capacity as a threat in Sweden," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    15. Hansen, T.A., 2022. "Stranded assets and reduced profits: Analyzing the economic underpinnings of the fossil fuel industry's resistance to climate stabilization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    16. Mehling, M. A., 2023. "Supply-Side crediting for accelerated decarbonization: A political economy perspective," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2346, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    17. Markus Grillitsch & Bjørn T. Asheim, 2023. "Towards regenerative regional development in responsible value chains: An agentic response to recent crises," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2310, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Apr 2023.
    18. Ferrannini, Andrea & Barbieri, Elisa & Biggeri, Mario & Di Tommaso, Marco R., 2021. "Industrial policy for sustainable human development in the post-Covid19 era," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    19. Di Tommaso, Marco R. & Prodi, Elena & Pollio, Chiara & Barbieri, Elisa, 2023. "Conceptualizing and measuring “industry resilience”: Composite indicators for postshock industrial policy decision-making," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    20. Ferguson-Cradler, Gregory, 2022. "Corporate strategy in the Anthropocene: German electricity utilities and the nuclear sudden stop," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; cohesion policy; European Union; green transition; industrialpolicy; regional restructuring; Energiewende; Europäische Union; Industriepolitik; Klimawandel; Kohäsionspolitik; regionaler Strukturwandel;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:mpifgd:281202. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/mpigfde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.