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Coins with benefits: On existence, pricing kernel and risk premium of cryptocurrencies

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  • Chen, Yi-Hsuan
  • Vinogradov, Dmitri V.

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies come with benefits, such as anonymity of payments and positive network effects of user adoption, and transaction risks including unconfirmed transactions, hacks, and frauds. They compete with central-bank-regulated money but consumers may prefer one currency over the other. In our arbitrage-free world utility from consumption depends on benefits, which are governed by distinct stochastic processes, implying incomplete markets and distinct pricing kernels. We characterize the cryptocurrency kernels, evaluate the otherwise unobservable benefits, and show their contribution to pricing. The model explains both the co-existence of the two currencies and the high volatility of the cryptocurrency price.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Yi-Hsuan & Vinogradov, Dmitri V., 2021. "Coins with benefits: On existence, pricing kernel and risk premium of cryptocurrencies," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-006, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2021006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dean Fantazzini & Raffaella Calabrese, 2021. "Crypto Exchanges and Credit Risk: Modeling and Forecasting the Probability of Closure," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-23, October.
    2. Konstantin Häusler & Hongyu Xia, 2022. "Indices on cryptocurrencies: an evaluation," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 149-167, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; cryptocurrency; pricing kernel; currency competition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics
    • D0 - Microeconomics - - General
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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