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From Riches to Rags, and Back? Explaining the Growth Trajectory of Argentina since the 1890s

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Author Info

  • Campos, Nauro F.
  • Karanasos, Menelaos G.
  • Tan, Bin

Abstract

Argentina is the only country in the world that was “developed” in 1900 and “developing” in 2000. Although various underlying reasons have been identified (chiefly political instability, financial development, inflation, trade openness, and international financial integration), no study has quantitatively assessed their relative importance. This paper tries to fill this gap. We use the power-ARCH framework and annual data since 1896 to study how important are these factors vis-à-vis both growth and growth volatility. Our results suggest that financial development, trade openness and political instability are the main factors, with important differences in terms of their short versus long-run behavior. --

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics in its series Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009 with number 37.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:gdec09:37

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Related research

Keywords: economic growth; financial development; volatility; political instability; trade openness; power-GARCH;

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References

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  1. Aaron Tornell & Frank Westermann & Lorenza Martinez, 2004. "The Positive Link Between Financial Liberalization, Growth and Crises," NBER Working Papers 10293, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Sanz-Villarroya, Isabel, 2005. "The convergence process of Argentina with Australia and Canada: 1875-2000," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 439-458, July.
  3. Kaminsky, Graciela Laura & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2002. "Short-run pain, long-run gain : the effects of financial liberalization," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2912, The World Bank.
  4. Gerardo della Paolera & Alan M. Taylor, 1997. "Finance and Development in an Emerging Market: Argentina and the Interwar Period," NBER Working Papers 6236, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Leandro Prados de la Escosura & Isabel Sanz Villarroya, 2006. "Contract Enforcement and Argentina’s Long-Run Decline," Working Papers in Economic History wp06-06, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Historia Económica e Instituciones.
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Cited by:
  1. Campos, Nauro F & Karanasos, Menelaos G. & Tan, Bin, 2008. "Two to Tangle: Financial Development, Political Instability and Economic Growth in Argentina (1896–2000)," IZA Discussion Papers 3752, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

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