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Option Pricing under Stochastic Volatility and Trading Volume Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Sadayuki Ono
This paper presents a pricing formula for European options derived from a model in which changes in the underlying price and trading volumes are jointly determined by exogenous events. This specification makes increments to the volatility depend on the current level of volatility and news and thereby accounts for the observed persistence in volatility. Moreover, it makes volatility an observable variable. The model accounts well for time varying volatility smiles and term structures, and that out-of-sample price forecasts for a sample of call options are superior to the benchmark ad hoc procedure of plugging implicit volatilities into the Black-Scholes formula.
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of York in its series Discussion Papers with number
07/05.
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Date of creation: Mar 2007Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:yor:yorken:07/05Contact details of provider: Postal: Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, United Kingdom Phone: (0)1904 433776 Fax: (0)1904 433759 Email: Web page: http://www.york.ac.uk/depts/econ/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Option valuation ; trading volume ; the stochastic volatility and volume (SVV) model ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
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