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The Sri Lankan Rupee and Purchasing Power Parity during the Current Floating Period

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  • Guneratne Banda Wickremasinghe

    (Monash University)

Abstract

This paper examines the empirical validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis in a Sri Lankan context using exchange rates for six foreign currencies during the period January 1986 to November 2000. Both graphical and econometric methods are used in the analysis. Graphical analysis indicates that the spot exchange rates for the currencies except for the Indian rupee follow the respective PPP exchange rates closely during certain time periods only and real exchange rates are non-stationary thus violating a necessary condition for the PPP to hold. The results of econometric methods are also consistent with those of the graphical methods. In addition, the symmetry and proportionality hypotheses implied by the PPP were rejected. These results refute the validity of PPP hypothesis to Sri Lanka. While these results have implications for policy makers, they may be corroborated using other econometric techniques such as cointegration and error-correction models and nonlinear models.

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File URL: http://128.118.178.162/eps/it/papers/0406/0406005.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Trade with number 0406005.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 21 Jun 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0406005

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 26
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162

Related research

Keywords: Sri Lankan rupee; Purchasing power parity; Japanese yen; real exchange rates;

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References

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  1. Walter Enders & Selahattin Dibooglu, 2001. "Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity with Asymmetric Adjustment," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 68(2), pages 433-445, October.
  2. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March.
  3. Nagayasu, Jun, 2002. "Does the Long-Run PPP Hypothesis Hold for Africa? Evidence from a Panel Cointegration Study," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 181-87, April.
  4. Kouretas, Georgios P, 1997. "The Canadian Dollar and Purchasing Power Parity during the Recent Float," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(4), pages 467-77, November.
  5. Papell, David H., 1997. "Searching for stationarity: Purchasing power parity under the current float," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3-4), pages 313-332, November.
  6. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
  7. Abdol Soofi, 1998. "A fractional cointegration test of purchasing power parity: the case of selected members of OPEC," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(6), pages 559-566.
  8. Cuddington, John T. & Liang, Hong, 2000. "Purchasing power parity over two centuries?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 753-757, October.
  9. Wu, Jyh-Lin & Wu, Shaowen, 2001. "Is Purchasing Power Parity Overvalued?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(3), pages 804-12, August.
  10. Sideris, Dimitrios, 2000. "Dealing with Methodological Problems when Testing for Purchasing Power Parity: Evidence from Greece," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio di Genova, vol. 53(3), pages 389-407.
  11. Aggarwal, Raj & Montanes, Antonio & Ponz, Monserrat, 2000. "Evidence of long-run purchasing power parity: analysis of real asian exchange rates in terms of the Japanese yen," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 351-361, December.
  12. Salehizadeh, Mehdi & Taylor, Robert, 1999. "A test of purchasing power parity for emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 183-193, April.
  13. Imad A. Moosa, 1994. "Testing Proportionality, Symmetry and Exclusiveness in Long-run PPP," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 21(3), pages 3-21, September.
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