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Teoria dei Processi Imitativi e Applicazioni Economiche

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Author Info
Marco Arnone (IMF & Catholic University of Milan)

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Abstract

This paper provides a survey of recent theories of herding behaviour, bridging two rather distants strands of literature (roughly, American and European). In the first part of the paper the explanation is based on the idea of asymmetric information and principal-agent approach; these could lead to an over-estimation of public information and under- estimation of private information, leading to informational cascades and interruption of social learning. The second part reviews the second strand of literature on herding, where transition probabilities from one strategy to another, which are stochastic at intividual level, give rise to quasi-deternimistic paths at aggregate level. The concept of self- referential and hetero-referential systems are introduced. Feb. 2004

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/if/papers/0404/0404012.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Finance with number 0404012.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: 13 Apr 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpif:0404012

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 34. This paper provides a survey of recent theories of herding behaviour, bridging two rather distants strands of literature (roughly, American and European).
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Herd behaviour; informational cascades; asymmetric information; learning; self-organisation; exchange rate; bubbles; financial crises;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Bikhchandani, Sushil & Hirshleifer, David & Welch, Ivo, 1998. "Learning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 151-70, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Chamley, Christophe & Gale, Douglas, 1994. "Information Revelation and Strategic Delay in a Model of Investment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(5), pages 1065-85, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Becker, Gary S, 1991. "A Note on Restaurant Pricing and Other Examples of Social Influences on Price," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(5), pages 1109-16, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Taylor, Mark P, 1989. "Charts, Noise and Fundamentals: A Study of the London Foreign Exchange Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 341, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-13.


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