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Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things

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  • J. S. Armstrong

    (The Wharton School)

Abstract

Ray Fair is one of my favorite econometricians. He has an excellent website, fairmodel.econ.yale.edu, where he freely shares his models. He writes clearly and his methods are reported in detail. He is concerned with the proper use of econometric methods. For example, he has long been opposed to the common practice of making ex post subjective adjustments to forecasts from econometric models. A review of empirical evidence supports his position (Armstrong and Collopy 1998).

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File URL: http://128.118.178.162/eps/get/papers/0502/0502016.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by EconWPA in its series General Economics and Teaching with number 0502016.

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Length: 2 pages
Date of creation: 04 Feb 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502016

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 2
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162

Related research

Keywords: presidential elections; forecasting;

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  1. Deirdre N. McCloskey & Stephen T. Ziliak, 1996. "The Standard Error of Regressions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(1), pages 97-114, March.
  2. J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes?," General Economics and Teaching 0502010, EconWPA.
  3. JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004. "Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series," General Economics and Teaching 0412024, EconWPA.
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