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Dynamic Savings Decisions in Agricultural Environments with Incomplete Markets

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  • Jere Behrman
  • Mark Rosenzweig
  • Andrew D. Foster

Abstract

A methodology is developed for examining savings behavior in rural areas of developing countries that explicitly incorporates the sequential decision process in agriculture. The approach is used to examine the relative importance of alternative forms of savings in the presence and absence of formal financial intermediaries. The authors' results, based on stage-specific panel data from Pakistan, provide evidence that the presence of financial intermediaries importantly influences the use of formal savings and transfers for income smoothing. They also find that there are significant biases in evaluations of the savings-income relationship that are inattentive to the within-year dynamics of agricultural production.
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Suggested Citation

  • Jere Behrman & Mark Rosenzweig & Andrew D. Foster, "undated". "Dynamic Savings Decisions in Agricultural Environments with Incomplete Markets," Home Pages _067, University of Pennsylvania.
  • Handle: RePEc:wop:pennhp:_067
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    1. Bhalla, Surjit S, 1979. "Measurement Errors and the Permanent Income Hypothesis: Evidence from Rural India," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(3), pages 295-307, June.
    2. Behrman, Jere R. & Foster, Andrew D. & Rosenzweig, Mark R., 1997. "The dynamics of agricultural production and the calorie-income relationship: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 187-207, March.
    3. John M. Antle, 1983. "Sequential Decision Making in Production Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(2), pages 282-290.
    4. Alderman, Harold, 1996. "Saving and economic shocks in rural Pakistan," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 343-365, December.
    5. Bhalla, Surjit S, 1980. "The Measurement of Permanent Income and Its Application to Savings Behavior," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(4), pages 722-744, August.
    6. Antle, John M., 1983. "Sequential Decision Making in Production Models," 1983 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 3, West Lafayette, Indiana 279107, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Chaudhuri, S. & Paxson, C., 1993. "Consumption Smoothing and Income Seasonality in Rural India," Papers 173, Princeton, Woodrow Wilson School - Development Studies.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hervé Stolowy & Gaetan Breton, 2000. "A Framework for the Classification of Accounts Manipulations," Working Papers hal-00597249, HAL.
    2. Benjamin, Catherine & Phimister, Euan, 2001. "Imperfection du marché du capital et investissement des exploitations agricoles," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 77(3), pages 357-383, septembre.
    3. Andrew D. Foster & Mark R. Rosenzweig, 2001. "Imperfect Commitment, Altruism, And The Family: Evidence From Transfer Behavior In Low-Income Rural Areas," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(3), pages 389-407, August.
    4. Zhao Rong & Lan Wu, 2020. "Withholding Consumption: A Free Riding Perspective on the Diffusion of Color Television in Rural China," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 489-516, June.
    5. Fafchamps, Marcel & Lund, Susan, 2003. "Risk-sharing networks in rural Philippines," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 261-287, August.
    6. Mark Rosenzweig & Andrew D. Foster, 1996. "Financial Intermediation, Transfers and Commitment: Do Banks Crowd Out Private Insurance Arrangements in Low-Income Rural Areas?," Home Pages _079, University of Pennsylvania.
    7. Dingqiang Sun & Huanguang Qiu & Junfei Bai & Haiyan Liu & Guanghua Lin & Scott Rozelle, 2013. "Liquidity Constraints and Postharvest Selling Behavior: Evidence from China's Maize Farmers," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 51(3), pages 260-277, September.
    8. Upton, Joanna B., 2014. "Resolving the Puzzle of the Conditional Superiority of In-kind versus Cash Food Assistance: Evidence from Niger," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 172942, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Alem, Yonas & Söderbom, Måns, 2012. "Household-Level Consumption in Urban Ethiopia: The Effects of a Large Food Price Shock," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 146-162.
    10. Alem, Yonas & Demeke, Eyoual, 2020. "The persistence of energy poverty: A dynamic probit analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    11. Rong, Zhao, 2011. "Free riding and durable adoption: a test of color television consumption in rural China," MPRA Paper 33434, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. De Janvry, Alain & Sadoulet, Elisabeth & Murgai, Rinku, 2002. "Rural development and rural policy," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 31, pages 1593-1658, Elsevier.
    13. Alemayehu, Geda & Haile, Kebret, 2006. "Aggregate saving Behavior in Africa: a review of the Theory & the existing evidence with new empirical Results," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 12(1), pages 1-73.
    14. Upton Joanna, 2018. "Working Paper 304 - The Use of Cash Versus Food Transfers in Eastern Niger," Working Paper Series 2430, African Development Bank.

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