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Multilateral debt relief through the eyes of financial markets

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Raddatz, Claudio

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Abstract

The economic benefits of debt relief for recipient countries have been the subject of arduous debate, at least partly motivated by the difficulty of identifying the causal effect of debt relief on economic performance-given that performance itself may drive the decision to grant relief. This paper conducts an event study to assess the economic consequences of multilateral debt relief for recipient countries that is robust to these reverse causality issues. It estimates the response of the stock prices of South African multinationals with subsidiaries in those countries to the announcement of debt relief initiatives, and shows that stock prices exhibit a significant increase above those of other firms, especially around the launching of the recent Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative. The improvement in financial markets'assessment of the value of these multinationals is consistent with lower expected levels of future taxation in the recipient countries. Overall, the results are consistent with the"debt overhang"argument for debt relief.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 4872.

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Date of creation: 01 Mar 2009
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4872

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Related research
Keywords: Debt Markets; External Debt; Banks&Banking Reform; Bankruptcy and Resolution of Financial Distress;

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  11. Christina Daseking & Robert Powell, 1999. "From Toronto Terms to the HIPC Initiative - A Brief History of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 99/142, International Monetary Fund.
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  16. Deshpande, Ashwini, 1997. "The debt overhang and the disincentive to invest," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 169-187, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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