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Future inequality in Carbon Dioxide emissions and the projected impact of abatement proposals

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  • Heil, Mark T.
  • Wodon, Quentin T.

Abstract

The authors analyze inequality in future carbon emissions using a group decomposition of the Gini index. Business-as-usual projections to the year 2100 for 135 countries show inequality in per capita emissions declining, but slowly. They also measure the impact on emissions levels and inequality of the Kyoto Protocol and other abatement proposals for Annex II (non-Eastern European high income) countries in 2010, focusing on their gap narrowing and reranking effects. Per capita emissions of Annex II and non-Annex II countries will probably not be substantially reranked unless the Annex II countries reduce their emissions by at least half (from 1990 levels) and emissions from non-Annex II countries continue growing unabated.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 2084.

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Date of creation: 31 Mar 1999
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:2084

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Keywords: Climate Change; Montreal Protocol; Global Environment Facility; Environmental Economics&Policies; Sanitation andSewerage; Montreal Protocol; Environmental Economics&Policies; Carbon Policy and Trading; Energy and Environment; Climate Change;

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  1. Holtz-Eakin, Douglas & Selden, Thomas M., 1995. "Stoking the fires? CO2 emissions and economic growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 85-101, May.
  2. Yitzhaki, Shlomo & Lerman, Robert I, 1991. "Income Stratification and Income Inequality," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 37(3), pages 313-29, September.
  3. Welsch, Heinz, 1993. "A CO2 agreement proposal with flexible quotas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(7), pages 748-756, July.
  4. Lerman, Robert I. & Yitzhaki, Shlomo, 1989. "Improving the accuracy of estimates of Gini coefficients," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 43-47, September.
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