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Wenn eine geldpolitische Nebensache zur politischen Hauptsache wird: Das riesige Vermögen der Schweizerischen Nationalbank

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  • Brunetti, Aymo
  • Foellmi, Reto

Abstract

The extraordinary monetary policy of the past decade has caused a major political problem for the Swiss National Bank (SNB). To avoid an excessive appreciation of the Swiss Franc, it has increased its foreign currency holdings more than tenfold in a very short time. This has increased its assets so massively that they are increasingly becoming the object of political desire; the recent flood of parliamentary motions is proof of this. Although this is purely a side effect of operations motivated by monetary policy, this gigantic fortune and their revenues are increasingly the focus of public attention. The paper analyses the build-up of the SNB's assets and places the political demands in this context. With the help of a stylised balance sheet of the SNB, we analyse the various ways of dealing with the assets and their earnings. From this, we derive three main recommendations on how the SNB could deal with this challenge relating both to contents and communication. First, profits should be distributed without earmarking to prevent a zero-price-illusion in the political arena. Second, an increase in profit distributions must follow clear rules. And finally, the investment policy of the SNB needs a more coherent justification. Die aussergewöhnliche Geldpolitik des vergangenen Jahrzehnts hat der SNB ein grösseres politisches Problem eingebrockt. Im Bemühen, den Schweizer Franken vor schädlichen Aufwertungsschüben zu bewahren, hat sie ihre Devisenbestände in kürzester Zeit mehr als verzehnfacht. Das hat ihr Vermögen derart massiv erhöht, dass es in zunehmendem Masse zum Objekt politischer Begierden wird; die jüngste Flut parlamentarischer Vorstösse belegt dies. Obwohl es sich dabei um einen reinen Nebeneffekt geldpolitisch motivierter Operationen handelt, steht dieses gigantische Vermögen zunehmend im Zentrum der öffentlichen Aufmerksamkeit. Das Papier analysiert den Aufbau des SNB-Vermögens und ordnet die politischen Forderungen in diesem Zusammenhang ein. Mithilfe einer stilisierten Bilanz der SNB analysieren wir die verschiedenen Möglichkeiten, das Vermögen und seine Erträge zu behandeln. Daraus leiten wir Empfehlungen ab, wie die SNB materiell und kommunikativ mit dieser Herausforderung umgehen könnte.

Suggested Citation

  • Brunetti, Aymo & Foellmi, Reto, 2021. "Wenn eine geldpolitische Nebensache zur politischen Hauptsache wird: Das riesige Vermögen der Schweizerischen Nationalbank," Economics Working Paper Series 2101, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised Feb 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:usg:econwp:2021:01
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Drazen, Allan, 1985. "A general measure of inflation tax revenues," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 327-330.
    2. Olivier Blanchard & Jordi Galí, 2007. "Real Wage Rigidities and the New Keynesian Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 35-65, February.
    3. Daniel Kaufmann, 2021. "Some implications of the new agreement on the distribution of SNB profits," IRENE Policy Reports 21-01, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-491, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jost, Thomas & Mink, Reimund, 2024. "Central bank losses and commercial bank profits: Unexpected and unfair?," IMFS Working Paper Series 199, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; SNB; foreign currency reserves;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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