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Climate and the Destination Choice of German Tourists

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Author Info

  • Jacqueline M. Hamilton

    ()
    (Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg)

Abstract

The attractiveness of a tourist destination is partly dependent on its environmental and climatic resource base. Climate change can be expected to have an effect on this attractiveness and will subsequently alter patterns of demand. An application of the pooled travel cost model using survey data on the destination choices of German tourists is presented in this study. Data on the climate, beach length and indicators of cultural, natural resource and economic attractiveness of the destination countries are used in the regression analysis. Optimal climate values were calculated and a climate index was used to examine the change in climatic attractiveness under an arbitrary scenario of climate change. It was found that, for European countries during the summer months, there would be an increase in attractiveness. However, the northern European countries become relatively more attractive closing the gap on the currently popular southern European countries.

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File URL: http://www.fnu.zmaw.de/fileadmin/fnu-files/publication/working-papers/climtour.pdf
File Function: First version, 2002
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University in its series Working Papers with number FNU-15.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2002
Date of revision: Aug 2003
Handle: RePEc:sgc:wpaper:15

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Keywords: climate change; international tourism;

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  1. Kaufmann, Daniel & Kraay, Aart & Zoido-Lobaton, Pablo, 1999. "Governance matters," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2196, The World Bank.
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