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Return-based Style Analysis with Time-varying Exposures

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Author Info
Laurens Swinkels, Pieter Jelle VanDerSluis

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Abstract

This paper focuses on the estimation of mutual fund styles by return-based style analysis. Usually, the investment style is assumed to be either constant through time, or time variation is implicitly accounted for by using rolling regressions. The former assumption is often contradicted by data analysis, and the latter is inefficient due to its ad hoc chosen window size. We propose to use the Kalman filter to explicitly model time-varying exposures of mutual funds. This leads to a testable model and more efficient use of the data, which reduces the influence of spurious correlation between mutual fund returns and style indices.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 with number 125.

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Date of creation: 01 Apr 2001
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf1:125

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Related research
Keywords: Kalman Filter; Mutual Funds; Style Analysis;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Pension Funds; Other Private Financial Institutions

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Brown, Stephen J. & Goetzmann, William N., 1997. "Mutual fund styles," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 373-399, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann, 2001. "Hedge Funds With Style," NBER Working Papers 8173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. " On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Huberman, Gur, 2001. "Familiarity Breeds Investment," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(3), pages 659-80.
  5. Alexander, Gordon J. & Benson, P. George & Eger, Carol E., 1982. "Timing Decisions and the Behavior of Mutual Fund Systematic Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(04), pages 579-602, November. [Downloadable!]
  6. Erik R. Sirri & Peter Tufano, 1998. "Costly Search and Mutual Fund Flows," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(5), pages 1589-1622, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Siem Jan Koopman & Neil Shephard & Jurgen A. Doornik, 1999. "Statistical algorithms for models in state space using SsfPack 2.2," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 2(1), pages 107-160.
    Other versions:
  8. Josef Lakonishok & Andrei Shleifer & Richard Thaler & Robert Vishny, 1991. "Window Dressing by Pension Fund Managers," NBER Working Papers 3617, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. ter Horst, Jenke R. & Nijman, Theo E. & de Roon, Frans A., 2004. "Evaluating style analysis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 29-53, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Roon.F.A. de, & Nijman, T.E. & Horst, J.R. ter, 2000. "Evaluating style analysis," Discussion Paper 64, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    • de Roon, Frans & Nijman, Theo E & ter Horst, Jenke, 2002. "Evaluating Style Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 3181, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    • Roon, F.A. de & Nijman, T.E. & Werker, B.J.M., 2000. "Evaluating Style Analysis," Research Paper ERS-2000-11-F&A Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
  10. French, Kenneth R & Poterba, James M, 1991. "Investor Diversification and International Equity Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(2), pages 222-26, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Ross, Stephen A., 1976. "The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 341-360, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Tae-Hwan Kim & Douglas Stone & Halbert White, 2000. "Asymptotic and Bayesian Confidence Intervals for Sharpe Style Weights," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-27, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Heston, Steven L. & Rouwenhorst, K. Geert, 1994. "Does industrial structure explain the benefits of international diversification?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 3-27, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Louis K.C. Chan & Hsiu-Lang Chen & Josef Lakonishok, 1999. "On Mutual Fund Investment Styles," NBER Working Papers 7215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Kim, Moon & Shukla, Ravi & Tomas, Michael, 2000. "Mutual fund objective misclassification," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 309-323. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Takao Kobayashi & Seisho Sato & Akihiko Takahashi, 2005. "Style Analysis Based on a General State Space Model and Monte Carlo Filter," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-337, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-13.

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