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Labour or consumption taxes? An application with a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents

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  • Markku Lehmus

Abstract

This study analyzes the effects of tax reform that shifts tax burden from labour to consumption. In this context, I also deal with the issue of progressivity. Even though this kind of tax policy change has recently gained popularity, its positive effects are debatable while the offsetting effect of a consumption tax on labour supply makes the net welfare change rather ambiguous.I examine these effects using a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents. The model iscalibrated to fit certain characteristics of theFinnish economy. In addition to efficiency effects, I study the tax reform’s effect on income and wealth distribution. First, I find that eliminating progressivity in labour taxationincreases efficiency viaincrease in capital accumulation that comes, however, in expense of slightly more inequality. Then, tax reform that replaces progressive labour taxes with a flat-rate consumption tax leads to a significant rise in capital accumulation, a negligible change inlabour supply and gross labour income distribution, buta relatively considerable increase in wealth concentration.

Suggested Citation

  • Markku Lehmus, 2010. "Labour or consumption taxes? An application with a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents," Working Papers 264, Työn ja talouden tutkimus LABORE, The Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE.
  • Handle: RePEc:pst:wpaper:264
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    Cited by:

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    2. Masaya Yasuoka, 2021. "How should a government finance pension benefits?," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 138-152, March.
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    4. Emin Gahramanov & Xueli Tang, 2013. "Should We Refinance Unfunded Social Security?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 80(319), pages 532-565, July.
    5. Lehmus, Markku, 2014. "Distributional and employment effects of labour tax changes in Finland," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 107-120.
    6. Antón, Arturo & Boyd, Roy & Elizondo, Alejandra & Ibarrarán, María Eugenia, 2016. "Universal social insurance for Mexico: Modeling of a financing scheme," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 838-850.
    7. Elizaveta V. Martyanova & Andrey V. Polbin, 2023. "General equilibrium model with the entrepreneurial sector for the Russian economy," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 9(2), pages 109-133, July.
    8. Choi, Yoonseok & Kim, Sunghyun, 2016. "Dynamic scoring of tax reforms in a small open economy model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 182-193.
    9. Elizaveta V. Martyanova & Andrey V. Polbin, 2024. "Scenario Assessment of Macroeconomic Effects of Progressive Taxation in Russia," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 8-30, February.
    10. Fernández-de-Córdoba, Gonzalo & Torres, José L., 2012. "Fiscal harmonization in the European Union with public inputs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 2024-2034.

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