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Modelling Chinese Inbound Tourism Arrivals into Christchurch

Author

Listed:
  • Fieger, Peter
  • Rice, John

Abstract

New data and modelling approaches are improving the usefulness of internet search data for forecasting inbound tourist arrivals. This short paper provides evidence of the usefulness of Baidu search data in predicting Chinese inbound tourist arrivals into a specific region in New Zealand. It also compares three modelling approaches, finding a Vector Autoregressive approach the most useful.

Suggested Citation

  • Fieger, Peter & Rice, John, 2016. "Modelling Chinese Inbound Tourism Arrivals into Christchurch," MPRA Paper 75468, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:75468
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/75468/1/MPRA_paper_75468.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. Holt, Charles C., 2004. "Author's retrospective on 'Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages'," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 11-13.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tourism forecasting; Applied Econometrics;

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics

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