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Credit and Oil Consumption

Author

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  • Arora, Vipin

Abstract

Credit greases the wheels of oil consumption—it is prevalent in purchases of cars, trucks, and even the construction of factories. But the traditional view is that it affects oil consumption only through economic activity and the price of oil. I argue that credit is important in its own right. To make my case, I first show that an association between credit and oil consumption growth exists across countries and time. I then give a nod to the traditional view, and conclude by showing that changes in credit alter oil consumption—even after accounting for economic activity and oil prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Arora, Vipin, 2016. "Credit and Oil Consumption," MPRA Paper 71096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:71096
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Claessens, Stijn & Kose, M. Ayhan & Terrones, Marco E., 2012. "How do business and financial cycles interact?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 178-190.
    2. Bruno, Valentina & Shin, Hyun Song, 2015. "Capital flows and the risk-taking channel of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 119-132.
    3. Vipin ARORA, 2016. "Consumer Credit, Oil Prices, and the U.S. Economy," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 122-142, March.
    4. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    5. Xin Shen & Mark J. Holmes & Steven Lim, 2015. "Wealth Effects and Consumption: A Panel VAR Approach," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 221-237, March.
    6. Ms. Mercedes Garcia-Escribano & Mr. Fei Han, 2015. "Credit Expansion in Emerging Markets: Propeller of Growth?," IMF Working Papers 2015/212, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit; oil consumption; economic activity; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F39 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Other
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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