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Understanding Investor behavior and it's implications on Capital Markets - The Indian Context

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  • Bhaduri, Saumitra
  • Gupta, Saurabh

Abstract

The paper proposes a dynamic factor model to augment the conventional three factor Fama and French – CAPM, by introducing two distinct latent variables which constitute investor behavior i.e. market sentiment and herding. Our analysis suggests that both factors significantly impact the asset pricing. Also, the herding factor portrays an erratic behavior during the crisis period whereas sentiment remains persistent across time.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhaduri, Saumitra & Gupta, Saurabh, 2015. "Understanding Investor behavior and it's implications on Capital Markets - The Indian Context," MPRA Paper 67948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:67948
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/71540/8/MPRA_paper_71540.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar & Jacob, Joshy & Varma, Jayanth R., 2013. "Four Factor Model in Indian Equities Market," IIMA Working Papers WP2013-09-05, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    2. Devenow, Andrea & Welch, Ivo, 1996. "Rational herding in financial economics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 603-615, April.
    3. Bhaduri, Saumitra N. & Mahapatra, Siddharth D., 2013. "Applying an alternative test of herding behavior: A case study of the Indian stock market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 43-52.
    4. Scharfstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1990. "Herd Behavior and Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 465-479, June.
    5. Mr. Sunil Sharma & Sushil Bikhchandani, 2000. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Review," IMF Working Papers 2000/048, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Hwang, Soosung & Salmon, Mark, 2004. "Market stress and herding," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 585-616, September.
    7. Shiller, Robert J, 1995. "Conversation, Information, and Herd Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(2), pages 181-185, May.
    8. He, Zhongzhi (Lawrence) & Huh, Sahn-Wook & Lee, Bong-Soo, 2010. "Dynamic Factors and Asset Pricing," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(3), pages 707-737, June.
    9. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    10. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2004. "The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 25-46, Summer.
    11. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1988. "A Probability Model of The Coincident Economic Indicators," NBER Working Papers 2772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sentiment; Herding; Dynamic Factor Model; Capital Asset Pricing Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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