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国际贸易新格局下的自由贸易协定研究 ——基于新政治经济学的视角
[Research on Free Trade Agreement in The New Situation of International Trade]

Author

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  • Gu, ZhenHua

Abstract

本文以Grossman和Helpman(1995)的标准贸易新政治经济学分析框架为基础，构建了在不完全竞争条件下的自由贸易协定理论分析模型，考察了自由贸易协定通过的条件和影响因素，以及对未来的世界贸易格局的影响，并且利用世界主要贸易国家2007、2010和2013的数据对结论进行了经验验证。结果表明：自由贸易协定签订的可能性与双方的市场总规模、已签订的贸易协定数量显著正相关，与双方之间的距离显著负相关；自由贸易协定虽然在一定时期内将继续强化区域贸易集团鼎立的贸易格局；但是，从长期而言，世界范围内的多边贸易自由化是未来的发展趋势。值得注意的是，政府关注的方向对于自由贸易协定是否签署的影响在不断增加。

Suggested Citation

  • Gu, ZhenHua, 2014. "国际贸易新格局下的自由贸易协定研究 ——基于新政治经济学的视角 [Research on Free Trade Agreement in The New Situation of International Trade]," MPRA Paper 56567, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:56567
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pravin Krishna, 1996. "Regionalism and Multilateralism: A Political Economy Approach," Working Papers 96-5, Brown University, Department of Economics.
    2. Grossman, Gene M & Helpman, Elhanan, 1995. "The Politics of Free-Trade Agreements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(4), pages 667-690, September.
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    4. Giovanni Maggi & Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg, 1999. "Protection for Sale: An Empirical Investigation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(5), pages 1135-1155, December.
    5. Pravin Krishna, 1998. "Regionalism and Multilateralism: A Political Economy Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(1), pages 227-251.
    6. Masahiro Endoh, 2006. "Quality of Governance and the Formation of Preferential Trade Agreements," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(5), pages 758-772, November.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    新政治经济学 自由贸易协定 世界贸易格局;

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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