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Une approche prospective de la configuration des disparités économiques régionales au sein de l'Union européenne par la modélisation et la simulation
[A forward-looking approach of the configuration of the regional disparities within the European Union: modelling and simulation]

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Author Info

  • Bourdin, Sebastien
  • Elissalde, Bernard
  • Langlois, Patrice
  • Goya, Dominique

Abstract

The aim of this article is to replace the question of the last two enlargements in the debate on the future of the cohesion policy. The interest is to estimate the process of the spatial expression of the convergence and the regional growth in the EU. The spatial statistics and the platform of simulation Geocells will allow to analyze the evolution of the GDP/hab. in the EU 27, the spatial configurations of the regional growth and the impacts of the diverse helps granted in conformity to the criteria of the cohesion policy. In an European Union counting henceforth 27 members, a reflection will be led on the budgetary efforts of redistribution of the European regional policy. In this frame, a prospective approach will present three scenarios of spatial economic development of the European Union putting the dilemma between equity and competitiveness.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 41307.

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Date of creation: 2011
Date of revision: 2011
Publication status: Published in Cybergeo, European Review of Geography Geography.564(2011): pp. 1-22
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:41307

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Keywords: cohesion policy; convergence; spatial interactions; cellular automata; simulation; spatial autocorrelation;

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References

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  2. Kurt Geppert & Michael Happich & Andreas Stephan, 2005. "Regional Disparities in the European Union: Convergence and Agglomeration," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 525, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  3. Sergio J. Rey & Mark V. Janikas, 2005. "Regional convergence, inequality, and space," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(2), pages 155-176, April.
  4. Bourdin, Sebastien, 2010. "Repenser le futur de la politique de cohésion européenne pour les pays d’europe centrale et orientale : la prise en compte de l’espace géographique comme piste de recherche
    [Rethinking the f
    ," MPRA Paper 40888, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.
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  13. Le Pen, Yannick & Hénin, Pierre-Yves, 1995. "Les épisodes de la convergence européenne," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/6803, Paris Dauphine University.
  14. Catherine Baumont & Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo, 2002. "The European Regional Convergence Process, 1980-1995: Do Spatial Regimes and Spatial Dependence Matter?," Econometrics 0207002, EconWPA.
  15. Pierre-Yves Hénin & Yannick Le Pen, 1995. "Les épisodes de la convergence européenne," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 46(3), pages 667-677.
  16. Michel Beine & Frédéric Docquier, 2000. "Croissance et convergence économiques des régions: théorie, faits et déterminants," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10469, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  17. Sandy DALL'ERBA & Julie LE GALLO, 2005. "Dynamique Du Processus De Convergence Régionale En Europe," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 21, pages 119-139.
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