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A causal investigation of aggregate output fluctuations in India

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  • Gopalan, Sasidaran

Abstract

This article is an attempt to understand the causal factors behind fluctuations in aggregate output. We find an absence of bidirectional causality between the gross domestic product residual and the gross domestic capital formation residual as well as between the GDP residual and the residual of the combined expenditures of the central and state governments, while the causality between the balance of trade residual and GDP residual is weakly unidirectional.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 33063.

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Date of creation: 23 Sep 2006
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:33063

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Related research

Keywords: Business Cycles; Hodrick-Prescott filter; Granger Causality;

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  1. Marianne Baxter & Robert G. King, 1995. "Measuring Business Cycles Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series," NBER Working Papers 5022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Satyajit Chatterjee, 2000. "From cycles to shocks: progress in business-cycle theory," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Mar, pages 27-37.
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