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General Equilibrium Model of Arbitrage Trade and Real Exchange Rate Persistence

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Author Info
Berka, Martin

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Abstract

Heterogeneity of marginal shipping costs leads to persistent and volatile deviations in real exchange rate. In a two-country, three-good endowment general equilibrium model, arbitrage firms use a transportation technology which depends positively on distance and physical mass of goods. The model exhibits endogenous tradability, non-linearity of law of one price deviations and trade-inducing and suppressing substitution effects due to heterogeneity in trade costs. When endowments follow an AR(1) process that matches quarterly HP-filtered US and EU GDPs, and the aggregate trade costs consume 1.7% of GDP, persistence of real exchange rate matches the data. A model with quadratic adjustment costs also induces sufficient real exchange rate volatility.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 234.

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Date of creation: Aug 2005
Date of revision: 06 May 2008
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:234

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Related research
Keywords: Arbitrage trade; heterogeneity; real exchange rate; persistence; volatility;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
F49 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Other
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
F19 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Other

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  3. Jean Imbs & Haroon Mumtaz & Morten O. Ravn & Hélène Rey, 2003. "Nonlinearities and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(2-3), pages 639-649, 04/05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Obstfeld, Maurice & Taylor, Alan M, 1997. "Nonlinear Aspects of Goods-Market Arbitrage and Adjustment: Heckscher's Commodity Points Revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 1672, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Bergin, Paul R. & Feenstra, Robert C., 2001. "Pricing-to-market, staggered contracts, and real exchange rate persistence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 333-359, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Frédérique Bec & Mélika Ben Salem & Marine Carrasco, 2009. "Detecting Mean Reversion in Real Exchange Rates from a Multiple Regime STAR Model," CIRANO Working Papers 2009s-18, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. David Peel & Ivan Paya & E Pavlidis, 2009. "Specifying Smooth Transition Regression Models in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Working Papers 005913, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  3. Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2004. "Temporal Aggregation Of An Estar Process: Some Implications For Purchasing Power Parity Adjustment," Working Papers. Serie AD 2004-25, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. David Peel & Ivan Paya & E Pavlidis, 2009. "Real Exchange Rates and Time-Varying Trade Costs," Working Papers 006028, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  5. Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2004. "Nonlinear Ppp Under The Gold Standard," Working Papers. Serie AD 2004-24, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
  6. Balogun, Emmanuel Dele, 2009. "Determinants of West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)countries global export trade: do foreign reserves and independent exchange rates matter?," MPRA Paper 12929, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2005. "The process followed by PPP data. On the properties of linearity tests," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(21), pages 2515-2522, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Mario Cerrato & Hyunsok Kim & Ronald MacDonald, 2008. "3-Regime symmetric STAR modeling and exchange rate reversion," Working Papers 2009_05, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow, revised Feb 2009. [Downloadable!]
  9. David Peel & Ivan Paya & E Pavlidis, 2009. "Forecasting the Real Exchange Rate using a Long Span of Data. A Rematch: Linear vs Nonlinear," Working Papers 006075, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  10. David Peel & Ivan Paya, 2005. "A new analysis of the determinants of the real dollar-sterling exchange rate: 1871-1994," Working Papers 002391, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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